Below you can find my take on ‘how to analyse a staying handicap chase’. Of course there’s no ‘right’ or ‘wrong’ way to approach this great game of ours but with any luck I say something useful or interesting. What follows are a few notes on the process I try to follow/the questions I asked, as I go through each horse in every race I look at. In the video below I try to bring these to life with a few recent examples, a couple of winners and a couple I just missed out on. The first 20 minutes may well suffice, where I touch on one main example which probably highlights all of the below. But for those of you who’re a glutton for punishment you can watch me flick through three further examples. With any luck my renewed focus on my ‘specialist’ area will help me add to the profit pile in the coming months. I’ve every confidence I will. And maybe the below will help you do the same also…
If you’ve any questions, thoughts, comments etc, do fire away in the comments below.
How to analyse a staying handicap chase (2m7f+)
- Is there more to come from the horse, are they unexposed over fences, do they look progressive? AND/or , are they well handicapped?
- Does the horse have the ‘class’ ?
- Does the horse have any ‘hot form’?
- What is the pace of the race? Who will it benefit, where’s the best place to be? Prominent/lead ?
- Will the horse handle today’s conditions, or maybe even improve for them?
- Is the horse ‘in form’, and/or what are they doing differently from recent runs, as a reason for why they may perform better today?
- Trainer stats, jockey stats, trainer form
- Replay watching
- Framing the race – how competitive, how many unexposed, muddy marathon chases- will you really need to stay? What attributes required.
- Is the fav opposable?
- Assessing price/value
- The process