Saturday’s Ascot Pointers (part 1,2,3 inc Video)

Trends, stats and trainer pointers for Ascot’s two big handicaps on Saturday…
A look at the 3.05 Ascot (first 15 mins) and the 3.40 Ascot (final 15 mins) If you want to be first to hear about my members club when it launches on Sunday, join my free email list here… http://racingtoprofit.co.uk/membersclub

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Trends, stats and trainer pointers for Ascot’s two big handicaps on Saturday…

Ascot

Saturday

3.05 – Sodexo Handicap Hurdle

12/150, 36p

12/12 aged 4-6 (7+ : 0/37, 2p)

12/12 sent off 12/1 or shorter SP (bigger: 0/69, 6p)

12/12 had 0-3 runs this season (4+ : 0/25, 1p)

11/12 had 0-1 run in prev 90 days (2+: 1/39, 2p)

6/12 ran in a C1 race LTO (6/48, 18p)

Other

  • Wore a tongue tie: 0/27,1p
  • Ran within last 15 days: 0/35, 4p

Trainer (12 years)

  • A King: 3/11, 4p
  • P Hobbs: 2/10,3p
  • N Henderson: 2/13, 4p
  • X1: P Nicholls, E Lavelle
  • G Moore: 0/10,2p

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3.40 – Sodexo Gold Cup

12/171, 41p

12/12 had 3-6 career wins (1-2: 0/12,3p ; 7+ : 0/34, 6p)

12/12 had 0-3 handicap wins (4+ : 0/34, 1p)

12/12 had 0-3 handicap chase wins (4+ : 0/25, 0p)

12/12 had 1-3 chase wins (0: 0/2,0p ; 4+ ; 0/46, 7p)

12/12 had 0-5 places in handicaps (inc wins) (6+ : 0/56, 5p)

11/12 sent off 12/1 or shorter SP (bigger: 1/83, 10p)

11/12 had 0-1 runs this season (2+ : 1/40, 6p)

8/12 had run at Ascot previously (had not: 3/70, 14p)

8/12 had 3-10 chase runs (11+ : 4/81, 14p)

6/12 ran in a non-handicap LTO (6/44 runners, 19p, +42)

Other

  • Origin of horse: GB  – 0/32, 3p
  • Handicap chase debut: 4/17 runners, 10p, +51
  • 1 win this season: 4/20, 5p, +46
  • Ran within last 20 days: 0/34, 5p

Trainers (12 years)

  • G Moore: 2/6, 2p
  • X1: K Bailey/ D Skelton/ V Williams/ C Longsdon/ V Dartnall/ N Henderson/ D Pipe/ Jonjo O’Neill
  • C Tizzard: 0/8, 0p
  • NTD: 0/9, 3p
  • P Nicholls: 0/18, 8p
  • P Hobbs: 0/10,2p

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TRENDS SHORTLISTS/TRAINER’S RUNNERS

3.05

Looking at those aged 4-6 with 0-3 runs this season, that covers all winners in last 12 years, we shall see if it holds… that would help cut the field in half, ‘shortlist’ of five…

Kid Commando/ Malaya / Sebastopol/ Hang In There/ Scaramanga

Kid C ran in a C1 LTO which is a positive, rather than being a negative for the others

Trainers (to have won race 12 years/with runners)

  • Countister
  • Malaya / Scaramanga
  • Hang In There

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3.40

Looking at the 12/12 stats, ‘removes’ just 6, leaving 8…

Commanche Red/ Whatmore/ Valtor/ Adrien Du Pont/ Mister Malarkey / Townshend/ Flying Angel / Django Django

Those with 3-10 chase runs a positive – Commanche Red / Whatmore/ Valtor/ Django Django

Running in a non-hncp LTO a positive – Commanche Red / Django Django

Bing GB ‘bred’ (origin, so born) is a negative, although some caution with such stats… the GBs… Whatmore/ Mister Malarkey / Militarian/ Blacklion

Trainers (to have won race 12 years/with runners)

  • Valtor / Might Bite
  • Django Django
  • Blacklion

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That’s all for this post. Any of my tips/write ups will follow in Saturday’s post.

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Do join in the conversation below, we're a friendly bunch.. all questions welcome, and do share your selections or thoughts

6 Responses

  1. Hi Josh

    Quick request, know you’re busy so no rush…

    Do you your past analysis for the Paddy Power Gold Cup handicap chase at Cheltenham? Wanting to make an early start

    cheers

    Love the cool new design btw

  2. Hi Josh I’m just lost work with covid once I’m up and running I will contact you so I can join your website looking good I also like to thank you for putting gegeezer s site to me excellent site plus your punters who I’ve had some excellent winner’s even 40/1 tipping sites I’ve used are no where near to what you both offer for service I just need a little bit more time thank you josh I hope your website takes off well deserved thanks Tony yates

    1. Hi Tony, sorry to hear about your current circs, with any luck you’ll bounce back asap. Yep just email me if you want in at any point and am sure we can sort something. They’ll be the odd free post etc to flick through/engage in, as there always has been.
      Josh

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