Saturday’s Ascot Pointers (part 1,2,3 inc Video)

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Trends, stats and trainer pointers for Ascot’s two big handicaps on Saturday…

Ascot

Saturday

3.05 – Sodexo Handicap Hurdle

12/150, 36p

12/12 aged 4-6 (7+ : 0/37, 2p)

12/12 sent off 12/1 or shorter SP (bigger: 0/69, 6p)

12/12 had 0-3 runs this season (4+ : 0/25, 1p)

11/12 had 0-1 run in prev 90 days (2+: 1/39, 2p)

6/12 ran in a C1 race LTO (6/48, 18p)

Other

• Wore a tongue tie: 0/27,1p
• Ran within last 15 days: 0/35, 4p

Trainer (12 years)

• A King: 3/11, 4p
• P Hobbs: 2/10,3p
• N Henderson: 2/13, 4p
• X1: P Nicholls, E Lavelle
• G Moore: 0/10,2p

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3.40 – Sodexo Gold Cup

12/171, 41p

12/12 had 3-6 career wins (1-2: 0/12,3p ; 7+ : 0/34, 6p)

12/12 had 0-3 handicap wins (4+ : 0/34, 1p)

12/12 had 0-3 handicap chase wins (4+ : 0/25, 0p)

12/12 had 1-3 chase wins (0: 0/2,0p ; 4+ ; 0/46, 7p)

12/12 had 0-5 places in handicaps (inc wins) (6+ : 0/56, 5p)

11/12 sent off 12/1 or shorter SP (bigger: 1/83, 10p)

11/12 had 0-1 runs this season (2+ : 1/40, 6p)

8/12 had run at Ascot previously (had not: 3/70, 14p)

8/12 had 3-10 chase runs (11+ : 4/81, 14p)

6/12 ran in a non-handicap LTO (6/44 runners, 19p, +42)

Other

• Origin of horse: GB  – 0/32, 3p
• Handicap chase debut: 4/17 runners, 10p, +51
• 1 win this season: 4/20, 5p, +46
• Ran within last 20 days: 0/34, 5p

Trainers (12 years)

• G Moore: 2/6, 2p
• X1: K Bailey/ D Skelton/ V Williams/ C Longsdon/ V Dartnall/ N Henderson/ D Pipe/ Jonjo O’Neill
• C Tizzard: 0/8, 0p
• NTD: 0/9, 3p
• P Nicholls: 0/18, 8p
• P Hobbs: 0/10,2p

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TRENDS SHORTLISTS/TRAINER’S RUNNERS

3.05

Looking at those aged 4-6 with 0-3 runs this season, that covers all winners in last 12 years, we shall see if it holds… that would help cut the field in half, ‘shortlist’ of five…

Kid Commando/ Malaya / Sebastopol/ Hang In There/ Scaramanga

Kid C ran in a C1 LTO which is a positive, rather than being a negative for the others

Trainers (to have won race 12 years/with runners)

• Countister

• Malaya / Scaramanga

• Hang In There

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3.40

Looking at the 12/12 stats, ‘removes’ just 6, leaving 8…

Commanche Red/ Whatmore/ Valtor/ Adrien Du Pont/ Mister Malarkey / Townshend/ Flying Angel / Django Django

Those with 3-10 chase runs a positive – Commanche Red / Whatmore/ Valtor/ Django Django

Running in a non-hncp LTO a positive – Commanche Red / Django Django

Bing GB ‘bred’ (origin, so born) is a negative, although some caution with such stats… the GBs… Whatmore/ Mister Malarkey / Militarian/ Blacklion

Trainers (to have won race 12 years/with runners)

• Valtor / Might Bite
• Django Django
• Blacklion

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That’s all for this post. Any of my tips/write ups will follow in Saturday’s post.