(2016: +75 points ; 2017 18/185, +79.5; 2018 0/0)
Kerry Lee (12/1<)
2.20 Lud – Tree of Liberty (2x angles) WON 12/1 but 30p R4, so 8.4/1>9/2
Trainer/Jockey Combo – Live Test
2.50 Lud – Fille Des Champs (12/1< guide)
2.20 Lud – Tree of Liberty (12/1<) WON 12/1 but 30p R4, so 8.4/1>9/2
A quick word on the Kerry Lee angles… I do need to recap on the year just gone for all the micro systems/angles, but for now…
We have been following a couple of angles for Kerry Lee last year and for most of 2016 I think…
Rules: Handicaps / Chases / Irish Bred / 12/1 or shorter SP / 2015-
Results: 134 bets / 33 wins / 55 places (inc wins) / 25% sr / +78 SP / +98 BFSP / AE 1.35
In 2017, with all qualifiers posted above : 47 bets /12 wins / 21 places / +35 BFSP
If you’d have taken ‘opening show’ odds, rather than SP, 10 mins or so before the off, that would have been worth +31 points more on top of the +78. No doubt morning prices may have been worth a bit more. Those qualifiers sent off bigger than 12/1 SP are now 0/31,3p in the period.
This is a decent angle that still continues to churn out the winners. If nothing else it’s a decent starting point for bets. We shall see how she gets on in 2018!
Rules: Handicaps / Chases / Not 1-3 runs in previous 90 days / 12/1 or shorter SP / 2015-
Results: 47 bets / 11 wins / 19 places (inc wins) / 23% sr / +24 SP / +31 BFSP / AE 1.21
2017: 3/17,7p, +8
Originally this angle included research that covered her father’s runners, before she took over the day to day training. The Lee’s were very good with chasers that were either running fresh (0 runs in prev 90 days) or were what i would call ‘hard fit’, so 4+ runs in the previous 90 days. Having looked at the stats it appears Kerry may have changed the approach slightly and this angle may now be irrelevant. They are still adept at readying them after a break but in the last two years those with 2 or 3 runs in the previous 90 days may be the place to focus – so, they are fit, but still fresh enough! 🙂
So, those with 2 or 3 runs only in the previous 90 days are: 87 bets / 22 wins / 39 places (inc wins)/ 25% sr / +46 SP / +63 BFSP / AE 1.4
I have that angle saved and will track it on here. Micro 1 should keep chugging along and of course there is some cross over with all the angles. As with Tree of Liberty above, he hits both micros 1+2, although the market will guide as to whether he qualifiers or not. Currently on the boundary, he was 14s+ before a NR, and may drift out again.
Those qualifiers are worth keeping an eye on and should point you to a few winners in the coming months.