Trainer/Jockey Combo – Live Test
3.10 Carl – Dartford Warbler
Bonus… hopefully I don’t put the mockers on this one, but one of my ‘notes’ horse from today’s Members’ Post… I suppose this part of the daily content could be seen as the ‘tipping’ content, whereby I go through the members trainer based stats qualifiers and pick out what looks most interesting to my eyes… sine I changed my approach/mentality at the start of September it has been a bit mad…with an inevitable dip now due given how crazy a start we had…
Test/trial : ‘NOTES’ (01/09/17-) (26/131, +125.5) (to 1 point win bets, +£627.50 to £5 win bets)
2.05 Carl- Newstart – 13/2 looks decent enough to my eye for this one and I will take a chance. He isn’t a strategy qualifier either so if he does go in he’s what I call a ‘bonus’ winner. He isn’t really in the usual category of unexposed/doing something different, so I am probably asking for trouble, but he does just look solid. He arrives here fit, in form, seemingly progressive over hurdles (could be they have found the key to him but he has been ‘in form’ for a while now) and the form of his last race has been boosted a couple of times. The second, who he just beat, has come out and won a C2 up at Ayr off 119, the fourth, Superior Commander, has since gone in at Musselburgh. It was a bunched finish that day but it would appear to be because he was beating in form/progressive horses. He handles soft, so I have no concerns over that. The niggle is whether soft, 17f and this hill, catch him out. But his experience, form, hardiness and importantly fitness may mean it doesn’t matter (if he does struggle with it) as everything else may be paddling in behind before that becomes a problem. Hopefully. The Whillans horse looks a danger but most of the others in here have a fitness question. He looked most interesting to my eyes today, at the prices.
That will be all for today.
GL with any bets,