Hugh Fowler: 2 Year Olds (#10)

Week ending 30th July 2017

Just saw 4 races this week, two from Sandown and two from Ascot. At Sandown May Girl was quite impressive and should go on from this. Tajaanus also impressed.

At Ascot both the winners looked good and Mythical Magic almost certainly a group horse with every single runner in his race looking like a potential winner this season.

What the Mythical Magic race did highlight was a question as to the quality of Lethal Force’s progeny. His two runners here Lord Vetinari and G Eye Joe finished in the last two places. They were both good looking strong types. In my pre-season assessment I couldn’t split him and Society Rock but so far their results are very different, Society Rock 12/37 and Lethal Force 4/36. I would be surprised if both Lord Vetinari and G Eye Joe don’t end up winning races this season. Only one of the sires 3 winners have won fto so it looks as if Lethal Force’s are simply slower developers at present.

In horses to follow this week I am simply putting all the runners from Mythical Magic’s Ascot race.

Tathmeen from the horses to follow won a poor novice race at Newbury by 6l but was 4/6 on. He should go on from this and remains on the list.

 

Horses to follow – 2yo maidens who did not win on debut and may from their placing not be obvious nto winners.

Mythical Magic, No I’m Easy, Merlin Magic, Strategist, Global Art, Lord Vetinari, G Eye Joe all these look capable of winning this season and the slow time and ground may lead this race to be under-rated.

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Nebuchadnezzar – Great big brute, good proportions. Probably the devil to get fit, ran ok, outpaced and staying on with purpose into a remote 5th. Has the size and scope to do much better nto as the race should bring him on. Maybe at Goodwood? Could easily be 80. No superstar but may be under-rated nto.

Mildenberger – Although he was colty in the pre-lims Mildenberger had a strong resemblance in terms of size, fitness and strength to Cardsharp at last weeks July meeting. Time ok for g/s.Big strong boisterous, typical Mark Johnston shape, longer body with less pronounced barrel to his chest, colty but not boiling over. 95

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Mambo Noire 80+ I have heard this race talked down but the winner Clemmie and this one both looked good.

Global Conqueror – Big hurdling type, Still a bit gross and whilst I thought he was long term the best of these will take a couple of runs to get truly ready. Sloping croup a small crib. 79

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Bhodi – Big strong boy, taller than the rest but greener too and his endless coltyness and foolishness probably cost him a chance to compete for the places. Probably the best here long term 8

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Murillo – Murillo – Pick of the paddock for me, big, scopey. May have been held up for a stride about a furlong out although replay is not conclusive. 104 Made 6/4 fav for Railway stakes 3rd.

Chatburn – withdrawn at the start in the Windsor Castle but was one of the better models. 78 Won 4 horse race at Yarmouth 12th July 4/6f.

Mrs Gallagher – Mrs Gallagher – Looks as though she was unlucky due to the draw. 85 Won 8th July Nottingham 2/5f.

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Musbaq – Splendid strong colt, hard to argue he did too much in front as Falmouth Light stayed on well who went with him.  Maybe not quite the natural talent. 77

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Polar Light – Finished 8th in the Folk Tale Newmarket maiden; way too green to do himself justice but simply a beautifully proportioned big strong colt. Will probably need 7f as a minimum. 82 Ran u/p 28th June over 7f at Kempton, needs 8f.

Cosmopolitan Queen – Big, tall, strong filly. Coat not come through and daft as a brush throughout the prelims. Here for an educational but I suspect Mr Elsworth and Jeff Smith have something planned for this girl. Possibly a bit gawky at present but some frame to fill out and a cooks bum. Wasted lots of energy beforehand rearing and prancing in the pre parade and paddock as well as at the start. Still shaped well staying on at the death. 80 possibly more. 2nd 28th June over 6f at Kempton 9/2. Needs 7f. Ran 14th July, overfaced in Duchess of Cambridge at HQ, last at 50/1.

Maksab – Is this Mick Channon’s Jallota for the 2017 season? Lower medium, green, 90% fit, despite this ran a good race out wide finishing off well. Given a really nice intro by SDS and could easily leave this form way behind nto. 81 Won 27th June 2/1.

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Match Maker – More compact and slightly lower slung than the first two. Medium. Tremendous stride at the walk, had to be niggled from an early stage as he ran green. Don’t think the stick was used and he was very purposeful toward the finish. Improve over further maybe past Westerland and Hey Gaman. 84. Looks to have had chance compromised by draw in The Chesham. Drawn 14 first 8 home drawn between 1 and 8. Back next twice.

Island Court – top end of medium. A typical Stan Moore bigger stronger type. Not ready to win here but ran a good race for his level of fitness. 74 this Camelot colt is not a world beater but may well be discounted in an easier race due to finishing position and connections.

Frostbite – Frostbite – Good sized medium colt, seriously short of debut fitness needed to win this but possibly can rate as good as anything else here. 75 Maybe a bit weak at the shoulder but looks to have the ability to improve from this and should be an ok price after finishing 7th.

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Special Mission – Sir Mark Prescott – Biggest in field, longer model, strongly made, around 90% fit but enough scope to improve considerably following a kind introduction. 75

Tathmeen – Richard Hannon – Tathmeen – Handsome, big athletic colt, still a bit rough in his coat on his flanks. Suffered, I think, a little from having Crowley aboard who is not at his best at Goodwood, only 8% on 2yos at Goodwood v 15% overall on turf. Not to say he is not tremendous improvement on his predecessor. He jumped off ok and pushed along a bit early, the horse then got lit up mid and did a bit too much in the middle of the race. He was then eased in good time though. Maybe more improvement in him than most. 90 In fact almost all of the runners from the Masar race at Goodwood should be taken note of nto. 3rd of 7 behind Invincible Army at Nmk 23rd June. Not supported. One more chance. Won poor 6f Novice at Newbury at 4/6 by 6 lengths. Should go on from this.

Another Day Of Sun – Cheap one bought for only 25k. Lower to mid medium, too free early, baulked late on and allowed to coast home. Instructive to look at his picture next to Masar as they are on almost the identical stride and similar shapes although ADOS is ¾ to 1 size smaller. ADOS’s coat is still to come through fully and he does not have quite the sheen of Masar. His muscle tone is also a little less defined. Possibly his neck is a little long for his frame in comparison and he does not give quite the impression of rib cage volume and power that Masar does. That said he does not look completely out of place and is a likeable type who will win races. My guess would be 82. WON NTO 5th June. Last of 6 28th June Salisbury Cl3 soft. Probably will need a sales race now.

Ertiyad – William Haggas From Mrs Gallagher maiden, probably the best filly seen as yet if it is not Out Of The Flames. WON Haydock 8th June. Disappointed in The Albany. 2 more chances.

 

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Weekly round up

Week ending 6th August 2017

Just a report from the Vintage stakes at Goodwood this week. I have pictures from the first three days but have not had time to edit them all yet. The Vintage was a very strange race to read. No doubt about how easily Expert Eye did it and surely not all those behind underperformed. I have added Seahenge to the horses to follow.

From the to follow list only two ran at Goodwood, Mildenberger who wasted his run with his colty behaviour and Cosmopolitan Queen who yet again, this time over 7f, showed she needs further. Both can remain on the list.

 

Horses to follow – 2yo maidens who did not win on debut and may from their placing not be obvious nto winners.

Seahenge – Hard to know what to make of this run, he looks a lovely big colt, tall, rangy and powerful. Looks like a group horse to my eye but did not run like one on this day. I am inclined to go 90+

  I fell in love with this great big strong and scopey son of Scat Daddy. Hard to be clear about his underperformance. He was a bit green and if my theory about the ground is right it may have been a bit soft for him. It was only his second run and his sp suggests Ballydoyle knew they were up against it. Despite this he looks to have Group Class potential and should certainly be at a fair price nto if he goes for another group race on g/f, if we ever get any!

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Mythical Magic, No I’m Easy, Merlin Magic, Strategist, Global Art, Lord Vetinari, G Eye Joe all these look capable of winning this season and the slow time and ground may lead this race to be under-rated.

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Nebuchadnezzar – Great big brute, good proportions. Probably the devil to get fit, ran ok, outpaced and staying on with purpose into a remote 5th. Has the size and scope to do much better nto as the race should bring him on. Maybe at Goodwood? Could easily be 80. No superstar but may be under-rated nto.

Mildenberger – Although he was colty in the pre-lims Mildenberger had a strong resemblance in terms of size, fitness and strength to Cardsharp at last weeks July meeting. Time ok for g/s.Big strong boisterous, typical Mark Johnston shape, longer body with less pronounced barrel to his chest, colty but not boiling over. 95

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Mambo Noire 80+ I have heard this race talked down but the winner Clemmie and this one both looked good.

Global Conqueror – Big hurdling type, Still a bit gross and whilst I thought he was long term the best of these will take a couple of runs to get truly ready. Sloping croup a small crib. 79

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Bhodi – Big strong boy, taller than the rest but greener too and his endless coltyness and foolishness probably cost him a chance to compete for the places. Probably the best here long term 80

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Murillo – Murillo – Pick of the paddock for me, big, scopey. May have been held up for a stride about a furlong out although replay is not conclusive. 104 Made 6/4 fav for Railway stakes 3rd.

Chatburn – withdrawn at the start in the Windsor Castle but was one of the better models. 78 Won 4 horse race at Yarmouth 12th July 4/6f.

Mrs Gallagher – Mrs Gallagher – Looks as though she was unlucky due to the draw. 85 Won 8th July Nottingham 2/5f.

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Musbaq – Splendid strong colt, hard to argue he did too much in front as Falmouth Light stayed on well who went with him.  Maybe not quite the natural talent. 77

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Polar Light – Finished 8th in the Folk Tale Newmarket maiden; way too green to do himself justice but simply a beautifully proportioned big strong colt. Will probably need 7f as a minimum. 82 Ran u/p 28th June over 7f at Kempton, needs 8f.

Cosmopolitan Queen – Big, tall, strong filly. Coat not come through and daft as a brush throughout the prelims. Here for an educational but I suspect Mr Elsworth and Jeff Smith have something planned for this girl. Possibly a bit gawky at present but some frame to fill out and a cooks bum. Wasted lots of energy beforehand rearing and prancing in the pre parade and paddock as well as at the start. Still shaped well staying on at the death. 80 possibly more. 2nd 28th June over 6f at Kempton 9/2. Needs 7f. Ran 14th July, overfaced in Duchess of Cambridge at HQ, last at 50/1.

Maksab – Is this Mick Channon’s Jallota for the 2017 season? Lower medium, green, 90% fit, despite this ran a good race out wide finishing off well. Given a really nice intro by SDS and could easily leave this form way behind nto. 81 Won 27th June 2/1.

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Match Maker – More compact and slightly lower slung than the first two. Medium. Tremendous stride at the walk, had to be niggled from an early stage as he ran green. Don’t think the stick was used and he was very purposeful toward the finish. Improve over further maybe past Westerland and Hey Gaman. 84. Looks to have had chance compromised by draw in The Chesham. Drawn 14 first 8 home drawn between 1 and 8. Back next twice.

Island Court – top end of medium. A typical Stan Moore bigger stronger type. Not ready to win here but ran a good race for his level of fitness. 74 this Camelot colt is not a world beater but may well be discounted in an easier race due to finishing position and connections.

Frostbite – Frostbite – Good sized medium colt, seriously short of debut fitness needed to win this but possibly can rate as good as anything else here. 75 Maybe a bit weak at the shoulder but looks to have the ability to improve from this and should be an ok price after finishing 7th.

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Special Mission – Sir Mark Prescott – Biggest in field, longer model, strongly made, around 90% fit but enough scope to improve considerably following a kind introduction. 75

Tathmeen – Richard Hannon – Tathmeen – Handsome, big athletic colt, still a bit rough in his coat on his flanks. Suffered, I think, a little from having Crowley aboard who is not at his best at Goodwood, only 8% on 2yos at Goodwood v 15% overall on turf. Not to say he is not tremendous improvement on his predecessor. He jumped off ok and pushed along a bit early, the horse then got lit up mid and did a bit too much in the middle of the race. He was then eased in good time though. Maybe more improvement in him than most. 90 In fact almost all of the runners from the Masar race at Goodwood should be taken note of nto. 3rd of 7 behind Invincible Army at Nmk 23rd June. Not supported. One more chance. Won poor 6f Novice at Newbury at 4/6 by 6 lengths. Should go on from this.

Another Day Of Sun – Cheap one bought for only 25k. Lower to mid medium, too free early, baulked late on and allowed to coast home. Instructive to look at his picture next to Masar as they are on almost the identical stride and similar shapes although ADOS is ¾ to 1 size smaller. ADOS’s coat is still to come through fully and he does not have quite the sheen of Masar. His muscle tone is also a little less defined. Possibly his neck is a little long for his frame in comparison and he does not give quite the impression of rib cage volume and power that Masar does. That said he does not look completely out of place and is a likeable type who will win races. My guess would be 82. WON NTO 5th June. Last of 6 28th June Salisbury Cl3 soft. Probably will need a sales race now.

Ertiyad – William Haggas From Mrs Gallagher maiden, probably the best filly seen as yet if it is not Out Of The Flames. WON Haydock 8th June. Disappointed in The Albany. 2 more chances.

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Report+ Photos: READ HERE>>>

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That’s the lot for this week, thanks to Hugh as always,

Josh

 

About This Author

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