Not much today but I have resurrected a micro/test from last summer that didn’t go too well. It may have been a blip, it may not. Only one way to find out…
Richard Fahey – Nursery Handicaps
Last year I did some digging on Fahey’s record in nurseries and came up with the following…
- Nursery Handicaps (2Yo handicaps)
- Not clear bottom weight
- 3+ runs in the last 90 days
- Did not run in a ‘non handicap’ LTO (as defined by HRB,does not include Maidens, sellers etc)
- Any odds
Last year was a bit of a blip but not on the place% front. A slight dip but enough there to give us hope I think.
You could improve the overall stats by focusing on those that ran in the last 30 days. Those that ran 31+ days ago… 4/32,9p, -15, AE 0.88. Clearly there is a ‘fitness logic’ to said rule and something to keep an eye on.
It could be he just had a bad crop of 2 year olds last year. It could be it marked a change in approach and a sign of things to come. But, it is worth keeping an eye on this season I think given the record the previous three years. I will track this on the free posts and see how they go…
3.00 Haydock – Showbrom
That is all for today. GL with any bets.