A double priced winner put up on the free post, pinch yourselves, they have been rare. Not ‘tipped’ officially, but sod it. He even took his trainer by surprise and you could tell in his interview he was annoyed he wasn’t more confident pre race- horse apparently shows sod all at home and has always been a shoddy jumper. That’s horses for you.
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TIPS
none. Atrocious days racing!
MICRO SYSTEMS/ANGLES
Trainer/Jockey Combo – Live Test
2.00 South – Never Up (12/1<)
3.50 Ling – Old Salt (12/1< guide)
Handicap Hurdle/Chase Portfolio – Live Test
4.30 South – Isabelleprincess (x2 angles)
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Horse of Interest…
Well, there really isn’t much to get exited about but I will have a small – ‘if I can’t pick a winner in a 3m+ chase, what the hell am I doing playing about on the sand‘ nibble on LOUMARIN, 13/2,7/1 (UP, no excuse there,SDS dictated, maybe didn’t see out the trip,tried to kick but couldn’t stretch. No really backed either. My love affair with the sand continues) in the 2.40 Wolvs…
This race looks ripe to be stolen from the front- so little pace on paper with plenty of hold up types. The last day this one got to the front eventually and was aggressively ridden. SDS is booked, and if you missed the news, he is now a sort of ‘stable jockey’ for Mick Appleby – quite the catch- it isn’t an exclusive arrangement as such but he will be on most of the stables horses where he can I believe. So, him in the plate is a positive, and he is very good from the front. While this one has plenty of form at 5f, and has yet to win over 6f, the odd runs suggests she could get home- and even more so if SDS can sit out in front and then kick turning in. So, the angle is lone pace. A front runner who could stay there. Cheepieces are retained and she has won from higher marks in the past and in a higher class. Appleby is also now hitting some form, 4/19,9p the last 14 days.
On what is a dull day, as some kind of ‘action bet’ to lively up the afternoon, she will do. I won’t be going mad. She will probably fall out of the stalls, be held up, and finish a never nearer 4th.
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That will be all for today.
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Oh I should add that I am off to Liverpool’s only Festival Preview evening tonight, near Aintree. It should be good fun and if you happen to see me, do say hello. I was invited last year by a blog reader and we are going again. I never learn too much, but the panel are entertaining and it is a good laugh. Well it was last year. I did learn about the trainers’ view on the different tracks and importance of pace etc. I will report anything back of note.
14 Responses
signed up,looking forward to the read.
Thanks Martin. Last years was a decent read to get you in the mood, very well produced and worth a flick through, good for a freebie. Think they are sending it out Tuesday.
I want to give Urban gale one more chance tomorrow in the 14:30 at Southwell. That Wetherby race keeps working out. The winner followed up, the 2nd has won twice and was 2nd today off 30 lbs higher, the 4th has won, the 6th has won twice and one of the PU horses has also won. I don’t know what went wrong LTO but if he runs anywhere close to the level he did in that race he should be taking this. The cheekpieces go back on and all wins have come with him wearing them. He has won over course and distance before and wasn’t disgraced in this race last year off 13 lbs higher. Henry Brooke comes here for just the one ride. Stable are in OK form with a winner, a 2nd and 2 3rds from their last 7 runners. Hopefully Brooke can kick on from the front here. The favourite could still be on the up but he has gone up 20lbs and the trainer hasn’t had a horse place in over a month even if we are talking about a small sample size. I just 9s was big in the context.
That race Riddlestown is 8lb below his winning mark
…and Letter Exit for the Wadhams, Aspell’s only ride.
Nicely bred, hooded first time, totally unexposed.
Taken out, after the going change; I suspected it might need goodish ground so one to keep onside over the coming days.
Lingfield
2-20. Arthington, first run under rules LTO and got going to late but kept plugging on, should come on for that, just had £2 @60’s on BF which seems way to big(now iv’e posted it will come plum last)
4-20 Goring One, just because i backed it LTO when it won.
4-50. Flugzeug, one of my favourite episodes of criminal minds, saying that it’s back over hurdles and 14lb better off for a 6 length defeat by the likely fav Burgess Dream 2 runs ago.
looking at the 4.50 at Lingfield I calculated Flugzeug should have 3-4 lbs in hand of Burgess Dream on last time they met but from same race Point N Shoot is a whopping 18lbs better off with Burgess Dream for 10 lengths and 8lbs better off with Flugzeug for 4 lengths and Nigel Hawke in form.
Good shout Ian, he was a nice price wasn’t he? before being well punted, won with plenty in hand – given how out of form his yard have been, a few more of them might start doing that!
I got 7/1 this morning, didn’t think it would be that emphatic but on this type of ground it can make a winner look like Arkle and the rest like donkeys. I agree that a yard to keep an eye on over the next few days. If only form always worked out that well, we’d all be happy.
good spot there Ian worked out well too
I backed two – Veauce De Sivola 420 Lingfield and Eaton Rock 230 Southwell.
Not much to get excited about today.
The Moore stable think Mr Muddle, 5.20 LP will go well but not much of a price. As an each way poke I quite like Over My Head, 4.50 LP.
Can I mention the London Racing Club preview evening this week, Thursday. From 7 PM at The Holiday Inn Kensington, right by Gloucester Road tube. Is always well attended. Phil Smith, Lydia Hislop, Lee Mottershead and someone from a bookmaker. Paul Kealy is usually there telling a few stories and on the Guinness. Matt from Geegeez is usually there as well. Good night.
Hi Martin
I am considering on attending although I am completely swamped at work right now so dont really want to commit. Can you get tickets on the door?
Regards,
Nick