Coral.ie Handicap Hurdle (3.10)
Well, the good news folks is if the 20 year trends holds up (suspect they are getting broken!) we may have found a 40/1 or 80/1 winner (name your price on BF maybe…)
There are 8 , 20/20 stats.. (with decent 0 from x for those who don’t tick that stat box)
- 20/20 Top 7 LTO
- 20/20 Age 5-8 (4yo small no.s)
- 20/20 11-8 or less on back (ignoring jockey claims)
- 20/20 OR 131 or below
- 20/20 0-4 runs this season
- 20/20 GB or IRE bred
- 20/20 0-3 hurdle wins
- 20/20 0-2 handicap hurdle wins
- 20/20 0-2 runs at track previously
Other stats to note maybe..
- 12/19 Top 2 LTO
- 18/20 10-11 or less on back
- 15/20 had 0 handicap hurdle wins
- Ran at Limerick LTO: 0/32,2p, Cork LTO, 0/23,0p
Well, looking at the 20/20 stats if my eyes are correct that only leaves 2?
Conright Boy (33/1-50/1 in places) NR
Derulo (outsider of the field, 80/1-100/1) 4th, 80/1>25/1
Well that was fun for anyone who had an EW nibble, looked as though he would be bang there all the way round!
The winner fell down on the not Top 7 LTO … they were 0/89,5p… but he hit the other 8 above perfectly actually..so we will take that profile forwards next year! Meade was 0/33,0p in that race since 1997, so even if I had looked at him I would have talked myself out of it I suspect.
Anyway, let’s focus on what is a 17/1 winner, unofficially at least. Glad some of you had a fun nibble. Great run for our money.
(I keep saying it but a similar stats profile approach found the winner of 8/10 Festival handicaps last year… so, we have that to look forward to)
Use that information as you please. Would be good fun if those stats held up! But, it was probably about time one+ of them was broken but you may use them to help you narrow in on a winner. Those are clearly not ‘tips’ but we shall see how the profile holds.
K Lee Chasers (12/1<)
3.30 Font – Mr Bachster
Don’t forget to read the HUNTER CHASE post if you haven’t already.
Plenty in there to take away/learn and apply. The author, Darran, has also left a comment…
Enjoy the rest of your weekend