I will re-order these posts I think and try and make them more accessible. So..
- The Ratings Pointers
- All Qualifiers against stats pack
- Any ‘Notes’ (subjective views mainly, on some of the qualifiers)
- Any general messages/updates etc
1. RATINGS POINTERS
3.20 N – Ill Walk The Line WON 15/8
1.15 S – Gores Island 3rd 9/1
1.00 N- McGintys Dream WON 20/1>18s
2.05 W – Ballygarvey UP
3.15 W – Milord – UP
McGintys Dream (hncp hurdle + micro class) WON 20/1
Un Noble (all hncps+hncp chase) UP
Heres To Harry (micro class) (no speed rating as yet) UP
Ill Walk The Line (NHF) (no speed ratings) WON 15/8
Morning Reggie (all hncps) 14 UP
Cody Wyoming (all hncps) UP
Ericht (micro going IF SOFT) 14,30 UP
Aerial (micro – runs this season) 30 UP
Discours D’Un Roi (micro going IF SOFT- yes) 14,30 UP
Maestro Royal (mico going IF SOFT- yes) 14,30 WON 10/1>15/2
Fergal Mael Duin (hncp chase+ micro distance/horse runs this season) UP
Ballygarvey (micro class) UP
Milord (all hncps) UP
Bradford Bridge (hncp chase) UP
3. OTHER NOTES
NOTES: Well just a focus on any ‘biggies’ not on the ratings pointers at the moment… Heres To Harry in the 2.45 Newc is around 33s in places, looking at the letters next to his form it’s not hard to see why. Alexander is 3/89,11p with handicap chasers going off 14/1 or bigger so market support should probably be noted. It is hard to rule him out completely, given this is only his second chase start and despite age 10, only his 8th career start-albeit he hasn’t done anything on the track yet. He may be tailed off, but that ‘unexposed’ profile,are the kind that can be worth a second glance, where they as yet may not have shown their best etc. He may just be devoid of ability of course. If he stays around 33s+ I may leave him, but any signs of market life I may have £2.5,£5 on him to see (1/4,1/2 point for me) There are no other potential monster prices ones, as yet, not on the ratings pointers.
Too Many Bets For Your Liking?
Just a quick note. One of you fine trialists asked to be unsubscribed – which was fine, no questions asked on that front- albeit he voluntarily cited the service ‘not suiting his way of punting’ – again, more than fair. This isn’t for everyone. But, I did enquire as to what that meant and he was kind enough to reply with the following…
“As for my way of punting…it is staking a lot on a very few. I am sure your site will continue to throw up plenty of winners but there is a glut of selections, though I DID take your advice re the 12/1 winner in the Sussex National, though I foolishly took c15/1on Betfair and it paid over 20’s !! I do always read your posts and am grateful of some of your comments. Long may they continue …and thanks again”
No doubt some of you may be thinking the same thing. So, what is the possibly solution to that? (in terms of the Members Posts, the Sussex National winner was a free tip)
Well, the most focused approach looks like being just backing any horse ‘Top Rated’ within the ratings pointers section. Since these pointers were introduced, these Top Rated Qualifiers are now… (in 26 race days I think…)
48 bets / 14 wins / 24 places / 29% win sr / 50% win|p sr / +39.17 points / 81% ROI
Those do include the 2 ‘double top rated’ qualifiers, which are now a perfect 2/2.
So, at what is an average of 1.8 bets per day, that may be a way forward and a solution to similar concerns as to what the trialist above had. Of course it is still early days but those are starting to look like ver solid stats. If you want a very focused approach, that may be the best place to start.
As always if you have any questions on how to get the best of these daily notes etc, then don’t be afraid to ask.
My own personal approach is to focus on the ‘Ratings Pointers’, with 1 TTP point on them all (that is £10 for me at the moment). I then look at Top Rated runners and ‘Double qualifiers’ (those in BOLD) The stats indicate I should probably start double staking on Top Rated qualifiers without over thinking it. I then have a flick through ‘non ratings pointers’ and NHF races and work out if I want to have anything on those, price allowing etc. I am conscious there have been a few biggies go in, not in the ratings, and i want to make sure I have something on those most of the time I think,if some sort of case can be made. I will try and highlight such hunches in ‘the notes’.
If you are after a shortlist of ‘TIPS’ as such, the closest thing on here is ‘The Ratings Pointers’ .
If you are confused as to how best approach the content please do comment or email me. I have tried to publish results etc so you can navigate an approach that suits you, but maybe I could be clearer.
That will be all for Saturday.
Sunday’s qualifiers will likely be posted Saturday late afternoon.