STATS/ANGLES OF INTEREST
I have clearly failed to settle on an approach for this section but maybe the 0-4 horses ‘shortlist’ approach may be the way to go for a while. In essence they are a collection of micro angles and with any luck, over time, they should come out in front if backing them all to win. Add in a bit of our own form/race analysis and with any luck you will all find it a useful addition/starting point to your own punting. The key for me is not to leave a monster on my longlist.
Alan King provided some cheer with a gutsy 6/1 winner and Squats ran OK for fourth also, 10/1 in the morning.
- 1.30 Dundalk – Strategic Heights 10 /1 (UP 16/1, drifted and ran as such sadly, never in it) … trainer/jockey are 4/11, 5 places when teaming up here in handicaps. The horse looks well suited to race conditions and the horse is 3/7, 5 places over 5f at the track, in this class. A possible decent EW stab maybe. Draw stats are fine for this distance here, no worries on that front but clearly getting an early position will be important.
- 2.00 Dundalk- Chiclet – (NR) 7/2, 4/1… one at the shorter end but the trainer is 8/20, 14 places with last time out winners. Trainer/jockey are also 7/24,12 places in handicaps here. This one bolted up LTO over CD but has gone up 10lb. That may well stop him but who knows. He will be at the front and in the right place to strike again.
That is the lot for Sunday.
3.50 Font – Crimson Ark 5/1 …. (WON >3/1 SP) ticks the 1-5 career starts positive. The break is no concern as Lavelle can get them ready after a break of 90+ days but they are not profitable to back systematically on just that angle alone. The new Geegeez ‘trainer snippets’ information shows me that Lavelle is also 4/18,7 places with horses having their second start in a handicap, which this one is doing.
NEW…Race Meeting Notes
I am busy pulling together my ‘trainer track profiles: jumps 2016/17’ report and this year I have decided to provide a daily set of notes using this report. I will simply highlight all of the horses that the researched angles throw up.
In essence they are set of micro angles but should be used as a starting point I think. The stats look at handicap hurdles, handicap chases and NHF races. You have seen the Warwick example HERE>>>
These notes will be provided Monday-Saturday throughout the main jumps season (Oct-end April) and some Sunday’s. They will be posted during the afternoon before the next day’s racing to give you plenty of time to use them as you please.
These will be provided for the Members Club only.
With any luck they will be an essential starting point to your jumps punting but I have never done it before and only time will tell! This guide is a bit more focused than last season’s when it comes to the micro angles.
Anyway, below are the notes for FONTWELL. Clearly I won’t reveal the stats behind them, you will have to buy a guide for those 🙂 (Out by the end of September all being well) They may end up being useful for Placepot hunting also…
2.20 – Kayf Willow (9/4) UP
3.20 – Mrs Burbidge (13/8) UP | El Toreros (10/1) PU| Stoical Patient (8/1) WON >11/2
3.50 – Shalianzi (5/1) UP
4.50 – The Geegeez Geegee (4/1) 2nd | Vexillum (3/1) NR
5.20 – Cautorillo (10/1) UP
TTP: MAIN TRAINER SYSTEMS
2.40 York- Taraz (9/1<) DNQ UP
4.10 York – Ingleby Hollow (9/1<) DNQ UP
That will be all for Sunday. Plenty to get stuck into there and hopefully there are a few winners dotted around.
You readers have been in fine form of late…who do we fancy on Sunday?