STATS/ANGLES OF INTEREST
The shortlist for your perusal… (yet to look at market)
- 3.40 Ascot: Rock Shine... (UP 6/1>10/1) Hannon is 4/19,9 places with his first time out 2 year olds here and it looks to be one of the tracks he sends the good’uns who are ready to roll. There are four horses in here having their starts and it is hard to know whether they are just making up the numbers and running for a nursery mark.
- 5.10 Strat: Tengri... (WON 4/1>6/1) Alan King is 3/9, 6 places with stable newcomers in the last year. He is ‘in form’ in all codes and has done well here recently.
- 4.05 Strat: Tobacco Road– (UP) Pipe is 4/13, 7 with newcomers in the last year (the last winner at Cartmel, I remember it well,for the wrong reasons) and 2/2 at Stratford. The market may guide after the break etc and you can’t help but notice the number of fit, in form horses in this race.
- 2.40 Ascot: Squats... (4th, 10/1) Haggas/Moore are 3/7, 4 places in handicaps here so the jockey booking looks significant to an extent. Haggas can do no wrong at the moment albeit not the easiest race in which to improve on those stats.
A couple of races where the stats point the way to a couple of horses… 2.20 Thirsk…both the O’Meara horse and the Brown horse have decent stats behind them…O Meara 5/24,10 p first time out 2 year olds last year, 1/6,5 places at track…Brown 2/5,2 places at the track with the same type. (Harwood/MillyBond)
Likewise the 3.35 Stratford has very strong pointers (trainer’s record with handicappers here and/or with jockey) for the Pipe/Scu horse and the Hobbs/Johnson horse…a quick glance indicates it is a horror of a race for me and I will be sitting it out. Hopefully these two can go well but most in here are running well. Maybe worth a closer look though.
SEPT/OCT JUMPS NOTES
1.55 Strat – Rock of Lyon … 5/2…(UP) I think he just ticks the 1 run in 90 days ‘positive’, if my maths is right. Either way it is close by a day or two… NTD is in form and he is actually 2/3,2 places with stable newcomers at Stratford.
3.35 Strat – Set List … ticks the 1+ run in 90 days positive stat. 4/1 (Fell)
2.40 Ascot: Twin Sails DNQ
4.10 Ascot: Kadrizzi
5.20 Ascot: Stake Acclaim
TTP: MAIN TRAINER SYSTEMS
SPRINT HANDICAP TESTING ZONE
None. I will just keep a watching brief again today. I have run out of time to do any sprint handicaps justice. We shall see if the first instincts were right with El Astronaute and Dutch Masterpiece in the 4pm. The weather is a bit uncertain also at Haydock. Times suggest it was fast yesterday but it doesn’t take too much rain to change the ground here- it may arrive or not.
The 4.10 Ascot looks a head-scratcher also and I will just watch with interest. The step up is interesting for Royal Birth and good luck to those of you on him. Plenty of in form, progressive horses in this and it looks a decent race on paper.
TRAINERS IN FORM
None today. Nothing standing out.