NEW: There is a new research/trainer stats post HERE>>> if that is your kind of thing, also on the home page and in the Free Reports/Systems tab. I have had a look at trainers who do well when sending horses to tracks that they rarely target (1/2 runs in last 730 days) as well as those who do well at certain tracks when only sending one runner. Something there to take away and use I think, as a starting point at least.
STATS/ANGLES OF INTEREST
Fahey (any odds)
4.55 York: Mustique UP
TTP: MAIN TRAINER SYSTEMS
6.10 Ham: Amy Blair (any odds)
3.05 – ALL of OMeara’s (5 of them) – Firmament WON 9/1>8/1 (others DNQ)
SPRINT HANDICAP TESTING ZONE
Busy Bimbo – 1 point win- 7/1 (Bet365/SkyB/BV)
7/1 seems a shade big for this one to my eye. This is the trainer who found improvement in Economic Crisis who was seemingly exposed before leaving A Berry and doing something she had never done before when winning. It looks like he is starting to get a tune out of this one as well. She didn’t win very often for her last trainer but all conditions look fine (is a CD,C5 winner), there is a bit of pace on paper to aim at, and Evans is up for the first time. That was eye-catching in the sense that he was called on when Economic Crisis won and he claims a valuable 5lb. Her last two runs have been decent, getting outpaced near the end on both occasions. The extra pace and stiff finish here could see her to better effect.
The Ryan horse, Bronze Beau and Gowanless like to get on with it and hopefully Evans keeps this one close enough to the pace and pounces entering the final furlong.
I think Salvatore Fury is worth taking on at his price, albeit he was visually impressive the last day. He isn’t the most consistent and has gone up 8lb and he has yet to win from a mark that high on the turf. He is also back up in class and has never won in this level of C5 or above. The Ryan horse lacks experience but could have anything in hand but again looks priced up accordingly. The rest have a few form/wellbeing questions now I think. Tinsell was the other I had a good look at and the trainer is hitting form. But he does just keep placing/running on late and his mark isn’t moving at all. I cant see why he would improve on any recent runs really and I don’t think a repeat will be good enough. I could have that wrong though.
So, an interesting little race and happy to have 1 point on this one at 7s. She has been travelling well recently and will look like playing a role in the finish at some point.
TRAINERS IN FORM
I will stay at Hamilton for a few trainer in form starting points…
6.40 – The Big Day (14) 4/1 | SS Vega (30) 9/2
7.10 – Neuf Des Coeurs (14) 5/1
That is all for thursday.