None. 3 chase cards and not one 3m+ handicap chase to get stuck into. There are a couple around that trip but one is a novice handicap and the other is class5, two types I try and avoid.
4.30 Strat – Walden Prince (14/1<) UP 14/1
STATS/ANGLES OF INTEREST
(running total= +12 points)
4.10 Perth – Wadswick Court – 9/2 (WH/Coral) Fell*
*A novicey error put paid to his chance here- he was in a good position before being badly hampered in the home straight from a faller, and was creeping back into contention when getting one wrong. Annoying as with a clear round I suspect he may have given the winner something to think about. He jumped straight here, but fences are there to be jumped at speed and he failed on that test, this time. Interesting where he turns up next.
This one ticks plenty of boxes and I think 9/2 looks fair enough in this race. The ground is interesting in this race -there is some cut, and some rain forecast – which could inconvenience a few in here. Bowen is the only trainer with the geegeez ‘trainer form’ indications for 14/30 days – indeed he is 4/16, 10 places in the last 14 days. My ‘way in’ was the trainer/jockey form here – 4/9,5 places when teaming up here. This one is unexposed over fences and this is the second start for the trainer after a decent debut LTO – which was after a 152 days – so, he could come on from that. He ran well there. He also looks to be on a workable mark and won’t mind what the weather does. He should track the pace- and this could be run at a decent clip. A slight niggle about going RH – jumped a bit left at times LTO, but given everything I think he is worth a go. The likes of Gurkha Brave have stamina to prove – the Bailey horse has stamina to prove (looked ok LTO) but also if this does go soft that is a question also. He likes to lead and him and the Gordon horse could cut each other’s throats. We shall see how this one goes. They team up with a shorter priced one earlier in the card who looks to have a chance but is 3s, and the capper may have him soon.
5.40 Stratford – Deserter – 7/1 (general) WON 7/1 SP*
*thats how you like to see them do it. Never much doubt to my eyes – well, clear early he was travelling well and put it to bed turning in.
There are plenty of stats pointers for this one, in what looks a fairly weak race. I would be concerned were there no money coming, as it may indicate this one just isn’t very good but… Greatrex appears to have stepped up with handicap debutants over jumps in the last year – 4/15, 8 places with such runners. On that basis this one catches the eye. When teaming up with Bannister here they are 2/3, 2 places. Bannister rides this track well, 5/10,6 places all rides here. The trainer does well at the track – 19/55,29 places all runners. His having been running ok- 3/16 last 30 days, 0/5, 2 places last two weeks. This one did nothing on stable debut in a novice hurdle and could just be a really poor animal. Having had a quick look at the sire he may well improve for this decent ground. Anyway, at 7s, given all the above and the general lack of stand out quality in this race, I thought he was worth a go.
No flat racing so that is it.
That is all for today. Some updated ‘sprint notes’ will be posted soon.
Enjoy your Sunday.