None. (still sticking to 3m+ chases and trends/stats big C2 handicaps for this section,mainly sprints but occasionally others)
TTP: MAIN TRAINER SYSTEMS
2.40 Yarm – The Ducking Stool (10/1<)
3.50 Catt – Baby Ballerina (16/1<)
4.20 Catt – Dominada (16/1<)
STATS/ANGLES OF INTEREST
(running total: +12 points)
None today. Plenty of racing, most of it mediocre and I am struggling to find any angles in really. One of my first filters now is recent trainer form and I will continue to place emphasis on that, at least until the bank is to the point where you can be a bit more creative. Patience was rewarded yesterday, and it may just be a case of waiting for the horse to jump of the page, which yesterday’s winner did.
SPRINT HANDICAP TESTING ZONE
(running total: 0/5,0 places = -10 points)
I clearly have a lot of developing to do in this area but we continue. I will be producing some ‘notes’ that I will share – it is important to reflect on tips, and I will look at the characteristics of the winners, re-watch videos and see if any horses worth following for future. That is an area I can improve on with 3m+ chases as well actually. I will also start my stats research on sprint handicaps and see if anything useful crops up.
6.30 Bath – Catalinas Diamond – 14/1 – 1 pt EW
The initial ‘way in’ for this one was looking at the handicap marks and this one is now 3lb below her last win, which was here over CD. Indeed on closer inspection her form in CD handicaps is 3/9, 4 places. The thing that really stood out/caught the eye was that run over CD two starts ago. Go and have a watch of the video if you can. Kirby was on board that day and boy did he have to sit and suffer – he basically stopped riding for about 50 meters as the race was hotting up, rode again, and found more trouble, and by the time he had space it was game over. Drawn 1, this hold up horse will need luck but at this moment we have 4 places to aim at. That run suggested she was in form to me and would have been much closer for a clearer run, on my reading of it anyway. The last race – well I will just blame the ground, I think it went soft and she just didn’t pick up in it. The BHA report says this is now Good ground, but she has won on good to soft and good to firm – to, there should be no excuses. There looks to be enough pace on paper and at the prices was the one that stood out when looking through. She is going to pop up again over CD no doubt and this is a rather weak race I think, even for a C6 – plenty in here have questions I think.
I will keep an eye on that Molly Jones at 50s. For old connections she ticks plenty of boxes for race conditions but returned after 600+ days last time for a new, rookie?, trainer. He hasn’t had many runners and I don’t know if he can actually train. This one may need more races to get sharp also. But, given old form, it will be interesting to see if she can do anything at this track in future.
That is all for today.