IMPORTANT: Royal Ascot
Well, I say important…but just to note what will be happening on here re Royal Ascot- and the short answer is very little. Unless mistaken I believe The Wokingham Stakes on Saturday is the only all age ‘Sprint’ (5-7f) Handicap of the week – so, that will get the full trends and tipping treatment (albeit I am at a friend’s wedding all day Friday but I don’ think it will be a late late one so we should be fine! Hopefully I can get plenty done on Thursday- trends likely to be up on Tuesday)
Given I don’t bet in most of the race types that take place there this week, and given my form, it is unwise to start attacking these races from scratch – it wouldn’t end well. I am quite adept at knowing what I have been good at long term and there are much finer judges than I to take you through that week,race by race,who have decent historical records.
In part that is why I have changed approach this year and am looking forward to testing out my stats/micro system research. Bar the Wokingham, they will be my main guide for the week and we shall see if the 5 main systems can repeat their yearly average of +54 points BFSP. I think I would take that now!! 🙂
The weather also looks likely to dampen all out enthusiasm with all kinds of rain forecast at various points, and they have already received plenty. So, we shall see how that pans out. Very disappointing and it could ruin the week.
My Royal Ascot focus, bar the Wokingham, will be on Donations Club Members where I will be emailing out the micro system qualifiers every day and possibly some other notes/stats that catch the eye also. So, there won’t be any daily RA stats/qualifiers etc posted on these pages. (unless qualifiers from the usual systems/TTP)
Having just said that, I am about to compile a ‘Trainer Track Profile’ for Royal Ascot (these stats were left out of the main guide) and will post that up here ASAP – in the next couple of hours. I don’t know how useful it will be and it won’t be as informative as my stats pack, but there may be something of interest- we shall see.
Everything else will remain the same and I will cast my eye around other cards for ‘Stats/Angles of Interest’ content – which after a bright start could do with finding another winner or 10.
3.30 Carl: Whipphound (any odds) UP
4.00 Carl: Annigoni (any odds) UP
4.15 Thirsk: Mr Orange (18/1<) NR
5.00 Carl: Ellaal (any odds) UP
5.45 Thirsk: Mr Mischief (18/<) Meeting Abandoned
8.40 Nott: Adventure Man (any odds)
TTP : MAIN TRAINER SYSTEMS
3.00 Carl: Salvatore Fury (15/2<) NR
3.45 Thirsk: Arrowtown (28/1<) Meeting Abandoned
5.30 Carl: Sattelac (15/2<) UP
STATS/ANGLES OF INTEREST
7.50 Popeswood – 16/1 – A profile horse gets his conditions here (or what were his conditions for his last connections) but is one where some further consideration may be needed and his profile is very much a guide… his conditions…C4 or below / OR 80 or below / Soft in going description… 2,1,1,2,6,8,1… There looks to be more rain around and the ground may be ideal come the race- already some good to soft patches. The trip is a question – all wins at 7f – but he has placed over CD, coming a
shoulder SHORT HEAD second in a nursery. (Short Head in HRB as ‘SH’, in Racing Post it is ‘Shd’ for the avoidance of any confusion- mainly on my part!) His ‘ideal conditions’ were also for his last trainer and there is always some caution when they move. You couldn’t say he is in form – that Chepstow run a bit underwhelming – unless they were trying to get his mark down- which, they may still be trying to do. His highest winning mark is OR77, he has come a shoulder second off OR78, and runs off 79 here – 1/2lbs isnt a reason not to bet. So, there are some ifs, buts and maybes. He may also peak later in the year. But, he is 16/1 and I will have a play to find out. IF he is going to do anything for new connections it looks likely to be in these conditions, at some point.
Nope, nothing else catching my eye. That will do for today. Post Complete.