Well Richard Fahey has ensured it wasn’t another Saturday bloodbath and as I write there are still a couple to go and try and eek out a profit. Another 4 seconds, all fairly close, to add to the mild frustration. Thesme ran a fine race and I am knocking on the door in those sprints. The other missed the kick, rearing as the stalls opened. Game over. I wont read anything into pre race comments from the WH spokesman that he was the one horse the bookies wanted to get beat 🙂 I don’t dedicate any time in my brain to thinking aspects of the game are bent- as while that may be the case sometimes, there isn’t much I can do about it doesn’t stop us making long term profits. I don’t think there was anything there this time- and I’m not sure a jockey can make a horse rear- he was getting worked up prerace.
Hoofalong – well he was on the stats shortlist of 7 – always positives and negatives when that happens, but the trends profiling did the trick – 7 shortlisted including the 1st, 2nd and 4th. Maybe I should have just stuck with Easterby’s record in 4yo+ C2 sprint handicaps in the last 3 seasons as detailed in my report – 3/12, +26 points. (those 31+ days off were 0/17, places) But boy has that horse improved on the all-weather – I have to remind myself of what Robert Cowell once said- that some of these sprinters don’t peak until they are 6/7. This appears the case with him. His last run on the flat turf was a defeat in a C4, off OR75. But, if you cast your eye far enough back he did have a second in a C2 at York in his younger days. He got the gaps when needed and received a fine ride – a shame he didn’t find traffic for my punting purposes! I didn’t think he had a win like that in him, esp from that mark on the turf – it was fairly easy in the end. Beware the 6 year old sprinters who may be coming into their own. That has to be his best performance of his life to date.
Just the systems on Sunday…
3.30 Donc: Gamesome NR/ Related (18/1<) NR
Meehan Maidens (any odds) (0/10,3 places so far this season,he is due some winners)
3.15 Salis – Malmoosa -NR
TTP: MAIN TRAINER SYSTEMS
STATS/ANGLES OF INTEREST
2.45 Salis: Ladweb – as Mike rightly points out below (cheers!) this profile horse gets his conditions again here. Class 4 or below/OR80 or below/5-5.5f… 1,4,5,2,1,1,1,6,2,,4,1,1 – Now this ones winning for this season may be done with and the highest mark he has won from, when taking account of claims, is OR74. In effect he runs of Or75 here and that win off 74 was a fairly comfortable one – he has come close seconds of marks in the 80s also. It could be that he was simply outclassed LTO – his profile suggests that he has a ceiling. All race conditions look fine and this is his first run at the track. There is a lightly raced progressive Hills horse to contend with. But, at 8/1 or 9/1 he may be worth a play. He will win in these conditions again at some point. (UP – close enough third to suggest the horse was still in form – but from that mark may either need more of a claim, or to be running into other exposed types- trainer may find such a race though. Maybe he didn’t let himself down on the groudn fully – looked like he may get there at one stage)
3.30 Donny – I should also mention HOOF IT for the same Muss connections as today’s big sprint winner. He was an eye-catcher at York two starts ago when backed, where he arguably ran on the wrong part of the track, but ran a cracker. There was a clear bias that day, and again on Saturday it would appear. He drops in class here which could be significant. He is worth a second glance at around 8/1. His last run, over 7f, can be ignored I think. UP – the rain has somewhat put paid to his chance I think – good to soft may have been ok – was good to firm officially this morning!- but that looked like soft, taking his record on ground with juice in to 0/12, 3 places – Very odd ride on the second – has front run over 7f and faded, held up here and flashes late- strange why they didn’t try and have him up there, asking a lot in ground like that from out the back
Right, that is complete this time!