A bargain at £2.97…
If you read Thursday’s email you will be aware that the guys over at ‘Picks From The Paddock‘ have released their ’60 Flat Horses To Follow’ for this Flat season. Last year’s runners had a 40% win/place strike rate.
One of these ran on Thursday – Jordon Sport – who won a shade cosily at 3/1. I don’t know if they will all be profitable to follow blind, but it is useful info. And you also get an email alert service with it. This isn’t a tipster service or a system – more a set of well researched horses who could progress further this year for various, well thought out, reasons.
Anyway, it is a bargain at £2.97 (with 15% discount) and for every copy you buy, I make £1 which will get reinvested back into the redesign/building of this blog. So, we all win. 🙂
Anyway, have a feel down the side of your sofa for some change and follow the two step process below to get your copy…
- Copy this discount code: RTPROFIT15 (very important you do that)
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My Punchestown notes have been having a good time of things this week – throwing up winners at 50/1 (20/1 morning of race>16/1), 12/1 (>7/1) 14/1 and 20/1 (Cup final, a decent stats snippet for Henderson) + a few decent priced placed horses, a couple of shorter priced winners also and a few losers of course. (I have only been on the 12/1 Harrington and 20/1 Hendo winners of those above, plus some decent EW returns from horses placing at 25/1, 12/1 and 12/1 – the 5th place from some bookies has been welcome!) I know others of you out there who have at least been on one or more of those winners.
Anyway, I hope you Donations Club Members have had a good week so far and hopefully the last two days can throw up a few more winners!
I am not sure what I am doing tomorrow as yet – in terms of races – I may have a look at The Thirsk Hunt Cup – I assume there may be some trends somewhere – other than that I don’t believe there are any big trends/stats for all aged handicap ‘sprints’ 5-7f, but do correct me if I am wrong on that front! There is also the Suffolk Stakes from Newmarket, a possibility.
I will have a look to see if there are any trainer angles/micros for the two day Guineas meeting.
6.50 Bangor – Cardinal Rose – 1 point win – UP- ran as if something amiss/was feeling something there, having traveled ok before a switched seemed to be flicked,carried his head awkwardly,dropped out quickly.
I am taking sanctuary in a 3m+ chase…
This horse really is the only one in the field who is proven, as a chaser, in all race conditions. This is only his 6th chase start and since coming back from an almighty long break last year (where he nearly won,suggesting trainer can ready them after an absence if he wants) hasn’t done much wrong. The race he won last time has produced plenty of subsequent winners and even though a low grade, is a good sign. He also wears his heart on his sleeve and usually tries his all. 8/1 seemed big – if he is race fit he should be right there at the death. He has had a tendency to jump right at times also, but he has won LH, and provided that isn’t too erratic we should be fine – 8s allows the chance to be taken on fitness and that RH jumping for me – in the context of this race. He needs good in the going description and handles good to soft (which it may become, showers forecast but shouldn’t be worse than that – if it is they had better withdraw him!). He has some decent chase form in the book when compared to these and I expect a bold show.
Every horse in here has some question to answer. A lot have had hard enough winter season, many only have form on deep ground and need to prove they may handle a more lively surface (that includes the fav, who also has stamina to prove, albeit progressive and impressive LTO) and many have so far failed to deliver over fences. Money has been coming in for the Lee horse – and that can only be based on the trainer/’they know’ – I am not sure if many chasers improve for leaving Jonjo’s but we shall see – in any case that ship has sailed – on his form on paper, you wouldn’t touch him at that price- albeit there should be more to come at some stage. Maybe the Lees have worked their magic on him. I can’t really have any of the others.
So, fingers crossed we get a decent run for our money from this one. He will try and I think jumping the last two he may look like the winner at one stage, if he is primed to run his race. 8s allows that chance.
A King Flat (16/1<): 2.15 Chep – Phantom River UP 16/1>8/1
**LATE UPDATE*** (11.06)
I appear to have missed the Kerry Lee chaser last night, mentioned above,which is a system qualifier…
K Lee Chasers (12/1<)
6.50 Bang – Magheral Express – UP
TRAINER TRACK PROFILES: MAIN TRAINER SYSTEMS
(remember these are newly researched and have never been tested ‘live’. Smaller stakes or paper trading may be advisable for some time. You should probably have a separate bank – I would hope 50 points would be sufficient. I will update results in the weekly diary posts/monthly reviews along with everything else as usual)
4.40 Muss – Luis Vaz Des Torres (any odds) UP
It would appear that the Chepstow main system was not saved in my HorseRaceBase account, apologies…as follows…(now double checking that the rest are saved!!)
5.05 Chep – Aaman DNQ / Cosette WON 9/2 (after R4?) / Taste The Wind UP (all 14/1<)
5.40 Chep – Fuzzy Logic 2nd / Jolly Roger NR (both 14/1<)
STATS/ANGLES OF INTEREST
1.55 Muss – Fumbo Jumbo – 3/1 – 11/4 – WON 2.7/1 (after R4) 11/8 SPThis one is short enough but in a way is me trying to get my ‘pace eye’ working – I am always on the look out for front runners who could get out and stay out, especially where the draw/track may be favourable. This one is an out and out front runner, he is fit, and in form. In small fields the low drawn horses do well over this distance at the track and I think he could get out, bag the rail, and play catch me if you can. His geegeez speed rating jumps out also – suggests it may be an error in truth- but we shall see. This one is me starting to get the rust off using the geegeez pace maps/speed ratings as THE ‘way in’.
That is all for this section today.
TRAINER TRACK PROFILES: FLAT 2016
I will just leave a subtle link at the bottom of the daily posts…you can get your copy, +60 day no questions asked money back guarantee below…
I will update readers periodically on how the main system bets get on – they have had a decent enough start. However you use the guide, you are sure to have plenty of fun with it. Those that have bought a copy have already used it to find plenty of decent winners.
And, you can also get a 50% discount if you join the Donations Club below…
Donations…Join The Club…
If you enjoy the blog and may even profit from my advice, why not donate today? You can join the monthly ‘Donations Club’ below – members of which will receive added benefits in the weeks and months ahead – reports for free (that I would otherwise charge for), discounted reports,exclusive reports, plus much more is in the pipeline.
So far members have received my Cheltenham Stats pack for free (worth £17) and an exclusive report for Aintree. There will be something for Punchestown and plenty of stuff for the Flat will be sent out in the coming weeks/months. Members will also get a near 50% discount on my new Flat Guide: Trainer Track Profiles: Flat 2016, which is out now.
Or, you can chip in as and when suits you, with ad hoc donations also.
I appreciate any donations that are sent my way. They will allow the blog to remain free at the point of use, ensuring no barriers to access – and they allow me to focus on making it, and your experience,the best that it can be.
So, go on, what are you waiting for 🙂 …
You Can Join My Monthly DONATIONS CLUB below (via Paypal)
(at the moment there is no difference in ‘service’ for want of a better word between those two amounts above… you all get added to the same email lost. At the moment it is about the value you place on the blog etc – eg many of you may back the tips to different amounts..those on £5 per point may think £12 suits them,those betting £20 per point may think £17 is reasonable, for example)
PLEASE NOTE: WHEN JOINING THE DONATIONS CLUB YOU SHOULD RECEIVE AN EMAIL ASKING YOU TO JOIN MY LIST, AT WHICH POINT YOU SHOULD GET SENT THE WELCOME EMAIL STRAIGHT AWAY. IF YOU DO NOT RECEIVE ANYTHING, PLEASE DO EMAIL ME AND I WILL SORT IT OUT. THERE CAN BE PROBLEMS WITH MY SYSTEM AND CERTAIN EMAIL ADDRESSES. Thanks, and apologies in advance. Email: firstname.lastname@example.org – or just hit reply to any of the emails I have sent you.
ONE OFF DONATIONS OPTIONS…
Here you go Josh, I would be happy to contribute a small amount right now… 🙂