VERY IMPORTANT: Rather embarrassingly quite a major error was brought to my attention in my Trainer Track Profiles Report – and specifically the Handicap Debut stats for PONTEFRACT – I am aware of what I did wrong (clicked wrong box near the one I was meant to in HRB,maybe not enough,or too much, coffee that day! And I am confident that is the only such error)
Anyway, Page 72 is the culprit and it is just the ‘Handicap Debut Stats‘ for Pontefract. You can find a replacement page, with the correct stats, below. Of course you are all welcome to get hold of this one page, whether you have bought the guide or not, but this is the easiest way to amend that error. Apologies again…
PETITION...there is a parliamentary petition which is calling on bookmakers to accept all legitimate bets up to and including £25.
You can sign this petition if you wish at the link below, and given the number of you who read this blog on a regular basis would probably more than double the number on there already…
A nice winner for the Stats/Angles of Interest section to leave that on +1.5 points profit for the day, if backing them all. Also a close 2nd at 10/1.
I should clarify that although those horses in that section are ‘pointers’ and there for you to use as you see fit, I don’t post them up unless I am happy to put my own money on them- and will usually have between 1/2 to 1 point on them, sometimes a 1/4.(esp All-Weather which I really do not get on with!-there won’t be many of those in coming weeks) (so£5,£10,£20 for me)
On the micro systems – Meehan hasn’t started that well from memory, trying to think if any of his have ran well, esp the maiden runners. That angle will throw up the odd biggie,but will be some peaks and troughs.
Hopefully you Trainer Track Profiles users backed the one system bet on Tuesday at 7/1. I know some of you took the 10s earlier, given the trainer/jockey combo stats also. Well done. Those ‘main system bets’ from that guide are ticking along nicely enough.
A few of you Donations Club members also used your Punchestown stats to back Jessica Harrington’s 16/1 winner, (probably bigger this morning?)- continuing her fine record in non-handicap hurdles at the meeting. I didn’t. Idiot. (oh god, apparently he was 50/1 the day before – I need a stiff drink!)
And finally, in what are becoming ever lengthening ‘daily wraps’ well done again to you fine contributors. A 16/1 winner at Notts which was fancied by a couple of you and a winner for Gary Moore at around 4/1 also highlighted. Not bad, I suppose 🙂 Well done, again!
None. That may be a familiar tale mid-week, at least until the flat season settles down and I research some decent ‘class dropping’ profile horses for the flat. There will be the odd summer jumper as well, when that all gets going.
STATS/ANGLES OF INTEREST
2.00 -Springforth – 8/1 – 3rd – you really can’t go wrong backing Mr Fahey’s 1st time out 2 year olds at this track and given the profit levels it suggests some go off relatively unfancied- maybe this one will bolt up, maybe he won’t, but over time you wont do too badly with this type.
4.50 – The Lynch Man – 12/1 – UP- another who looks weak enough in the market but JJ Quin is 2/7, 5 places with handicap debutants at the track (Geegeez report for that snippet) The trainer is in decent form and again the price lured me in. There are some more fancied ones at the top of the market but you have to take these types on!
5.25 – Piccardo – 8/1 -12/1 – UP – this one is on the drift which is a concern but he ticks plenty of boxes as you may see from the ‘free page’ for Ponte above. It is a 3yo only handicap, he is making his handicap debut and returns after 90 days – Fahey is strong on all of those fronts – a good stats fit – clearly he will probably trail in last now but I can’t resist a nibble and you should never not bet just because of a drift! (hard to know if a bad sign or not sometimes and plenty of drifters win)
3.55 – Dhahmaan – 10/1 – UP – Botti has a decent record here in C1 Listed and above races – clearly there are some race fit, interesting rivals in here but he will at least like any cut in the ground. I have had 1/2 point on this one – fitness a question, and danger or the top two – but he ‘could be anything’ this year, including being better than those two.
6.50- Shifting Star – 6/1 -UP is a main system bet from the guide (provided his SP is 7/1 or under, which could be the case, albeit plenty of time to drift – Bridger does have bigger priced winners with this angle,they are just hard to find and unprofitable long term- but we will back a drifter one day that wins) The trainer/jockey stats are also strong – all the same pointers that led to yesterday’s 10/1>7/1>13/2 winner for stats guide users. I think you could put a line through his last run on account of the going – he is getting on but Bridger clearly knows how to keep the fire burning with these types.
There are a few decent pointers I have picked out using my notes for horses around 12/1,(that one is a main micro system bet) 7/1, 25/1 plus a few NHF horses of interest – but, you will have to join the Donations Club and get hold of my stats to dig those out! 🙂 We shall see how they all get on and I will give an honest report back tomorrow.
That is all for today. Post Complete.
TRAINER TRACK PROFILES: FLAT 2016
I will just leave a subtle link at the bottom of the daily posts…you can get your copy, +60 day no questions asked money back guarantee below…
I will update readers periodically on how the main system bets get on – they have had a decent enough start. However you use the guide, you are sure to have plenty of fun with it. Those that have bought a copy have already used it to find plenty of decent winners.
And, you can also get a 50% discount if you join the Donations Club below…
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If you enjoy the blog and may even profit from my advice, why not donate today? You can join the monthly ‘Donations Club’ below – members of which will receive added benefits in the weeks and months ahead – reports for free (that I would otherwise charge for), discounted reports,exclusive reports, plus much more is in the pipeline.
So far members have received my Cheltenham Stats pack for free (worth £17) and an exclusive report for Aintree. There will be something for Punchestown and plenty of stuff for the Flat will be sent out in the coming weeks/months. Members will also get a near 50% discount on my new Flat Guide: Trainer Track Profiles: Flat 2016, which is out now.
Or, you can chip in as and when suits you, with ad hoc donations also.
I appreciate any donations that are sent my way. They will allow the blog to remain free at the point of use, ensuring no barriers to access – and they allow me to focus on making it, and your experience,the best that it can be.
So, go on, what are you waiting for 🙂 …
You Can Join My Monthly DONATIONS CLUB below (via Paypal)
(at the moment there is no difference in ‘service’ for want of a better word between those two amounts above… you all get added to the same email lost. At the moment it is about the value you place on the blog etc – eg many of you may back the tips to different amounts..those on £5 per point may think £12 suits them,those betting £20 per point may think £17 is reasonable, for example)
PLEASE NOTE: WHEN JOINING THE DONATIONS CLUB YOU SHOULD RECEIVE AN EMAIL ASKING YOU TO JOIN MY LIST, AT WHICH POINT YOU SHOULD GET SENT THE WELCOME EMAIL STRAIGHT AWAY. IF YOU DO NOT RECEIVE ANYTHING, PLEASE DO EMAIL ME AND I WILL SORT IT OUT. THERE CAN BE PROBLEMS WITH MY SYSTEM AND CERTAIN EMAIL ADDRESSES. Thanks, and apologies in advance. Email: firstname.lastname@example.org – or just hit reply to any of the emails I have sent you.
ONE OFF DONATIONS OPTIONS…
Here you go Josh, I would be happy to contribute a small amount right now… 🙂