Another frustrating day for the official advice, but that is how it goes. Al Co ran a blinder and out-ran his odds as expected. He ‘bumped into’ one there, a lovely 50/1 shot. On all known form that was not a total shock (that chase is that kind of race) – it wasn’t far fetched to cobble together a case for him, especially given the price etc- clearly I didn’t!
Goonyella ran well enough for 5th in the big one. My thanks to his rider for ensuring a small profit on the race if backing him EW – ‘officially’ a 4 point loss on the race. The rain, both last night, and more so during racing, ruined many a well touted horse’s chance before they had even run, including a couple of the tips.( I didn’t expect it to be heavy) The Last Samuri ran a belter and had the rain stayed away I have no doubt he would have won that. Rule The World – well on the stats profile that I used he was some stats buster – but, if you ignored that, on one piece of form – his Irish National second last year – he was a valid selection and I can certainly see why many would have backed him at 50/1 – well done if you were one of them, top punting. He certainly had the class on paper, esp over hurdles. My search for backing a National winner goes on! More focus on previous ‘national’ placed horses maybe – Goonyella had placed in the Scottish version. It is never about the money with this race – it is just another race, betting wise – but there is a sense of professional pride in wanting to nab it. My wait goes on. (did I hear Mr Pricewise right on The Morning Line – he hasn’t tipped the winner in 30 years?,,,blimey, I hope my wait isn’t that long)
So, ‘officially’ a 1 point profit on the week I think. Given what happened last year, I will take that. Given my approach I often need one decent priced winner 16/1+ to ensure no damage is done at a Festival. I then need to find one more winner to ensure a profit of sorts. That happened at Cheltenham, but with only one winner this week, not too much to shout about.
Of course, the blog is more than just ‘official’ tips and is full of info and ‘ways in’. The ‘ dailynotes’ did well enough through the week, highlighting a few winners and a 66/1 2nd. For those in the Members Club – They were emailed micro system bets (from my Aintree Guide) each day. Two horses were highlighted in the last today, one of them dotting up at 16/1. A fine way to end the day for me personally. (on top of 11/4 and 9/1 winners on day 2 for the systems)
Away from Aintree…thanks to Nick who highlighted Loughalder – the comments on this blog are always worth reading as all of you are fine judges. I had tipped him a few times hence he was highlighted, but I was so immersed in Aintree I missed him – he romped home at Chepstow – 16/1. Top Tug won at 9/1 for Alan King’s micro angle. A fine day indeed.
Also thanks to a few of you blog readers – Shaun, Andy and friends who made Day 2 enjoyable – we shared a few pints and that was rather good fun. I did enjoy hearing how they cheered home Empire of Dirt at Cheltenham in splendid isolation – I rather enjoy cheering home winners track-side, that no-one else has backed! 🙂 (yep, one of those annoying types!)
Bar the systems below, nothing on Sunday. There are a couple of 3m chases but I am going to give my head a rest. I will also be travelling back from Liverpool to Suffolk to spend a week or so at ‘home’.
3.20 MR – Coozan George (12/1<) UP
3.55 MR – Calin Du Brizais (12/<) NR
4.15 Ffos Las – Little Boy Boru (12/1<) UP
Enjoy what is left of your weekend.