Credit to Toby Lerone who showed stamina I wasn’t sure he possessed and if I looked at that race again, given the odds yesterday morning, I would take him/that type on again. Not a shock winner, but a frustrating one. He ended up being a decent enough price. I picked the right big priced horse to go with, Double Silver running well enough in second, but never quite getting there. Alberobello – well not sure what went wrong there – maybe he sulked for not getting an easy lead, or he is just not as good as the winner, and had to use more energy to try and match his pace – in the end this may have told. Anyway, we move on. That is the nature of the value game.
I emailed out my Aintree Report to Donations Club Members yesterday afternoon. If you are in that club and did not receive it, do email me and I will sort it out. (the Contact form does not work on this site – one of the many things that will be fixed in redesign – email me firstname.lastname@example.org) If some of the micro systems repeat recent history then we will have some fun, – always an if though! (I will be emailing out trainer micro system selections for the three days to Club members)
You can join my monthly Donations Club at one of the links below, and get your hands on this Aintree report straight away…(via Paypal)
None. The seasons are a changing and there is no jumps racing today. I am happy to leave the flat cards for now for tipping purposes, given the number of unknowns around fitness/going etc.
STATS/ANGLES OF INTEREST
The micro system in my Flat guide, which is coming together, throws up two potential qualifiers tomorrow that may be worth a second glance…
2.30 Catt – Longshadow (16/1<) UP
3.30 Catt – Roccos Delight (16/1<) WON 6/1>11/4
Some other pointers from my Trainer Track Profile of Catterick (remember these are just stats pointers, and with these I have yet to look at horses/races…)
The Lock Master -Appleby operates at near 20% with all handicappers here -UP
Dark Ruler -trainer/jockey are 5/16,9 p when teaming up last 3 seasons in hncps *** This horse is actually a ‘PROFILE‘ horse in my database that I have been tracking. All wins at C4 or below on turf to date (did not run at this class all of last season) IN C4 handicaps, on good to soft or soft he is 1,2,1,1,1 . This trip may just stretch him but he came a neck second over it, in a higher class. He is 0/8, 1 place above 12/1, so the market could be important. – UP
Be Royale – Appleby again. UP
Stormin Tom – trainer/jockey 6/31,14 places in handicaps here. UP
Sherman McCoy – goes for trainer who is 2/7 with those returning after 90 days to track (a more tentative stat perhaps) 3rd
Legal Art – Ellison has a 20% sr with all his handicappers hereUP
7.15 Kempton – Mikro Polemists -16/1 I highlighted Ellison/SDS stats at Kempton the other day – now 3/9,7 places in all races. This one would appear unfancied but I have yet to look at him in any depth.
That is all for today.
A review of March will be up this morning and later this afternoon I may record a video of Day 1 Aintree – skip through a few of the races with any thoughts etc. Will make a nice chance from all the words!!