Re-Cap…Nothing to cheer on Saturday which is always disappointing but that’s how it goes, more often than not, when playing at those odds. Thankfully we havent had too many blank Saturdays. Shotavodka demolished his rivals at Newbury – I dont know why I left him out of my tentative stats shortlist on the blog (he had fewer than 5 chase wins etc) – he was on the notepad and rest assured I had a good look at him – concluding that I had stamina doubts! Sometimes horses make you look silly, and that was one of those. 0/8, 2 places beyond 2m6f before that, and this was his first try at nearly 26f. I thought he just plodded on last time and thought there would be stronger stayers in here. As it happened, bar Peat The Feat, nothing else really ran its race. He was able to saunter to victory as if on his gallops at home. Got that one wrong, clearly.
So Fine jumped ok but could never really get into it. Same Difference has clearly lost his way and the fire has yet to be rekindled. I thought everything looked good for a decent run, not to be.
It was nice to see The Last Samuri win at Donny like that – always nice to see previous winners for the blog continue to progress. I was happy to take him on at 3s with one at a bigger price that I deemed overpriced. I also had some slight niggles about the fav on that ground, as it would appear the trainer did also. Again that is going to happen, and has happened, a lot – not every fav you take on is going to bomb out sadly. Clearly you dont want to take on too many that win like that, and when they do you always wish you had 2 pointed at 3s! He looks sure to run a massive race in the Grand National (as discussed after his Kempton run) if taking to the fences. Band of Blood never really looked happy and we got no run for our money, not that it mattered in the end.
So, -3 points on the day, -4.5 points for the week.
Thankfully for us micro systems followers we had a rather good day, to make up for my tipping disappointment. +10.5 points to add to the pot.
No Tips. 3.30 Hunt looks a bit messy and having had a quick look I am happy to leave it. Jac The Legend goes at Sedgefield and looks to have a great chance to me, plenty of pace to aim at and should relish the heavy – but he is 5/4, so will leave. That may transpire to be value, but not odds I like playing at really.
2.00 Hunt – Red Hammer (12/1 or shorter sp) 2nd
4.20 Sedg- Dalby Spook (12/1 or shorter sp) UP
4.50 Sedg – Mia Matriarch (12/1 or shorter sp)