I have had the misfortune of being a BT Broadband customer today, and as I write I have been without internet since about 2pm. Currently using the signal from my phone and no idea if/how much that may be costing me, but at least Sonny The One will cushion the blow! (update: Internet issues all sorted now)
TDS ran poorly but STO did the business, holding on well. He is still young and mentally immature (jockey’s words in effect) and hopefully he will come on plenty from getting his head in front. His jumping needs to sharpen up but that was a good effort given how long he was out in front, and it was tacky heavy, rather than wet heavy! +5 more points to the pot.
‘VERY’ IMPORTANT: SUBSCRIPTIONS….
As you know I have been considering charging for certain aspects of the blog. Well, if I do charge, this won’t be until July at the earliest. For one reason or another I want to take my time with such a decision and get the blog/approach nailed down, including the flat season. And you never know, the wheels may come off by then 🙂 I am still to go through the survey results in detail but I will be redesigning the blog, making it more user friendly, (will still remain ‘clean’ and clutter free mind) and I want to introduce a proper Forum at some point. It isn’t lost on me that some tipping services that make 200 odd points a year charge in excess of £30 per month. While such a figure seems excessive to me, I have a belief in this blog and how good it is.
BUT…in the meantime I thought I would introduce some DONATE options. This is voluntary and relies on your honesty and generosity – and also allows you to make the value call and chip in an amount that suits you, as and when you see fit. (including never!) I know some of you bet £2 per point, some £20 like me, everything in between, and I know one of you bets £25EW on all tips, price allowing. Some of you don’t bet very often and may just bet on a Saturday when time allows, for fun money. Many of you may not have been reading for long, or may never follow my ‘tips’ and just enjoy reading my ramblings. And of course, the blog is more than just tips. (micro systems, free reports, stats etc)
Anyway, I won’t get the violins out but the blog, promotions of other services and my stats guides are all I do – and as they say, every little helps. I don’t know if this experiment will work but I am going to try it. It is worth pointing out that even just £5 per point on all the tips since the start of 2016 would see you around £462.5 richer 🙂 (not to mention the +86 points from systems since August)
So, from now on, at the bottom of each post you will see the following options. These ‘donations’ are via PayPal and are live as we speak… 🙂 (no hints here!) (and you never know, if this works I may never need to introduce a subscription element) You may wish to chip in after a good win, or more regularly every week or month, or not at all. Up to you.
Please let me donate, and help keep this blog subscription free…
Here you go Josh, I would be happy to send you…
Many Thanks, every donation is much appreciated.
Total Assets – 1.5 points win – UP – poor run, slightly surprised….could be the actual weight. Had 10-2 on back last run, 11-4 here, not the biggest of horses, albeit thought she would be fine. On that evidence the winner probably would have beaten Art Lord LTO but for falling, but who knows.
Frank The Slink – 1 point win – UP – not that surprised,worth a go.
What a strange feeling!
Total Assets – Value is in the eye of the beholder and I have never been one for strict odds caps (ie ‘I will never back anything under 4/1’ although that is a decent enough approach). 11/4 is shorter than I would normally go but in the context of this race I think that is fair enough and offers a shade of value. I think she is going to go very very well here. This is her 4th chase start having won well LTO in a right old slog over further. Newcastle is a stiff track and even more so when the ground is like this. She wont be wanting for stamina and for one so inexperienced jumped very well LTO. The race looked to be run at a decent pace and the right horse (Present Flight) chased her home – he runs in the 3.10 below (system bet) so that will be interesting. In effect she has 10lb more on her back than LTO, but the day that such a rise stops me betting on an unexposed chaser will be the day to find a new pastime. (remember Ziga Boy, up 15lb!) She races prominently which is always a positive and her trainer does well at the track. 2/5, 2 places in handicap chases here in last 730 days, 4/20 overall last 5 seasons. Oh, and she has won at the track over hurdles.
Frank The Slink – is clearly a punt with plenty of letters in his formline but he has won after being pulled up previously, and that last run was after a long break. The trainer is 2/5, 3 places with his handicap chasers here in last 730 days and a repeat of either of those runs 4 and 5 starts ago would see him right in the mix – that made him a bet at these odds. As simple as that. In handicap chases the horse is 3/8, 4 places with 1-7 runners…now 0/7, 0 places with more than this. There may be something in that and for those two wins he has led from the front in small fields. There are no out and out front runners in this race and if he is sent to the front then sit tight, we could have some fun. Of course, you may need your ‘lackamon’ eyes on to cast back through the field, but unlike that horse if he is out the back he may well stay there and be a PU again. Always happy to take that chance at odds like this, in a race like this. He could well be a money horse – all wins to date when 4/1 or shorter – 3/5, 3 places, +8 points. So, one to keep an eye on as they are clearly persevering for a reason and this is only his 19th chase start.
Well Presented would not have won LTO to my eye if the horse that came to challenge him had not fallen. He looked likely to breeze past. He deserved that win and maybe he can build on it but before that he had a habit of placing. He will run his race but there are more progressive ones in here. Rocking Blues loomed up to our winning bet LTO, Art Lord, but I am not sure if he would have won. He does have his stamina to prove, as well as learning to jump better at pace near the business end. That fall may knock his confidence and the trainer is only 3/58 here. I am happy to take him on albeit IF he stays, and IF he jumps, given his profile and that run LTO, he won’t be too far away. I will be disappointed, albeit not totally dismayed, if the other two win.
I have looked at 2.45 Ludlow and am happy to leave well alone! That is all for tips.
1.30 Newc – Mysteree (any odds) WON 2/1
3.10 Newc – Present Flight (any odds) UP 11/2
3.55 Lud – Zama Zama (10/1<) UP 5/1
3.45 Newc – Amethyst Rose (12/1<) DNQ / Oil Burner (12/1<) UP 6/1
4.20 Newc – Surprise Vendor (12/1<)
That is all for today.