A decent day for the micro systems yesterday with another +15 points or so I believe, and Easterby very nearly added a winner at Chelmsford. A welcome winner for the Jumps Handicappers as well. My punt on Alfie Spinner didnt amount to much and I really should learn my lesson and stop backing these veterans now – albeit I obviously thought he would run much better than that. I know one reader picked out the winner so well done if you had him too. I had concerns as to his stamina on that ground, but it appears he won despite conditions which is a good sign moving forward and those concerns were unfounded. That is now two big chase winners this season for Charlie Longsdon and is clearly a ‘Saturday Trainer’ to keep onside.
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No Tips of Shortlist today – which in general will be the norm for Sunday’s I suspect. I don’t have the time this morning to look at the racing in sufficient depth.
MICRO SYSTEMS
November Trainers
2.05 Ffos Las – Bobble Boru (16/1 or under)
3.35 Sand – Aachen (16/1 or under)
Emma Lavelle (14/1 or under)
4.05 Sand – Full Irish
Jumps Handicappers
12.45 Sand – Little Boy Boru (20/1 or under)
3.00 Sand – Red devil Star (20/1 or under)
13 Responses
2.05 FL BOBBLE BORU…looks good to me but 5/2 to short…two honeyball runners interesting at ffos las..CLONDAW BANKER I looked at but to short at 10/30 ,,4.20 FL BILKOS BACK .interesting …no bet for me today though ..
I have gone for a longshot AMERICAN LIFE 3.50 ffos las got his going and distance trainer likes the course if runs to what he is capable of 33/1 is big also done the two venetia horses from November trainer angle she had nice winner yesterday pepit rose 10/1 I like your trainer micro systems josh there well worth looking at I try to see what ones have got a chance through geegeez racecards to try narrow down amount of bets and hopefully avoid the loosers and back the winners
Really good work today with Full Irish Josh. I also stuck with Vino G, who owed me a fortune, as I saw that Aachen had never won before the turn of the year so a good day.
Thanks
Hugh
Good stuff Hugh, yes I didn’t have time to look at any form today so backed everything blind above. Full Irish was 12s this morning so a decent day,what with other VW winner as well. Well done with VG..reckon he owed many punters a few Bob!
Blinkered stats followers like myself had a field day.Gary Moore positive on hurdlers but especially with chasers 25% 16/1 14/1 6/1 winners.Rebecca Curtis at FFOS LAS 35% with chasers globalisation 4/1 early price,Nicky Henderson hurdlers at sandown 28% Clondaw Banker 7/2 winner.A good easy tool is the stats section of the racing post given for each race,can be used to confirm your own analysis and some you might have missed
Well done, Josh: two nice winners.
cheers Jack, yes keeps the micro angles ticking along nicely.
Gerry, Have to say that i think you’ve been very lucky today. I’m an enthusiastic stats guide user like yourself, but, its my understanding that apart from The Bonus Report, the guide is to be used for HANDICAP races only. Ar Mad which won the 1.15S was running in a NON handicap beginners chase. Likewise with Darebin which won the 1.50s, this also was a Non handicap juvenile hurdle. With regard to Vino Griego which won the 3.35s. admittedly was a HANDICAP CHASE, but i can’t for the life of me find any positive comments for Moore in the appropriate ‘Handicap Chase’ section. Perhaps i am missing something here and if so then someone please tell me.Believe me this isn’t sour grapes as i also had a very decent day and have done really well from ‘The Stats Guide’. This has to be the best value for money product currently in the market place!
Hi Allan…I think from what Gerry has said he well may have been using other stats,not my stats guide. Bonus report/main guide did point to Curtis winner, but yes strictly using guide would not have pointed to Moore’s non hncp winners. Handicap runners are profitable from memory,but low win SR,indicating profits down to a few big priced winners. But I could be wrong with my interpretation of Gerry’s comments. Either way,always delighted to hear about readers winners,however they found them.
Hi Josh, Ok and thanks for that. I don’t begrudge anyone winning, ‘that’s what it’s all about. I was more concerned that i was missing something. Like yesterday i missed Lily Waugh. It was at the bottom of the page that i had printed off from your .website..I usually put a tick beside each selection after i have placed my bet. Upon later checking it was the only one that i hadn’t put a tick beside….bugger!. That’ll teach me for starting on that second bottle of .wine on Friday night. Hope everyone enjoys their evening..Cheers…….
Haha – I have had to read a few comments from you where you have plundered winners that I have missed/not backed – so I can relate to that feeling of thinking you are missing out! Ah – damn, that is annoying, this game has many ways of bringing us back down to earth, missing winners that you planned to back is one of them! We have all been there.
Oh, and thanks for your kind words about the ‘Stats Guide’ – it is proving to be better than I could have wished for at pointing towards value bets etc.
Yes,i use my own but freely available using racing post,heres how I go,firstly go to overall stats for the meeting on racing post.I look at the trainers with overall profit and a decent strike rate,then I check which area hurdles,chases nh flat,i don’t discriminate between handicap and non handicap,havent got tools and prefer keep it simple,so I note the trainers and price of qualifiers,dont usually dip below 3/1,then I go to that race and check that race again for trainers 14 day record,any other strong trainers in that race in same code,can I back both at prices,if 3 or more just leave it,is the jockey strong at track,hows his strike rate,does he do well with trainer,is it a 7lb claimer etc etc,theses are just my own ways of filtering
Thanks for that Gerry. What would you call a decent strike rate out of curiosity?