Well a decent enough day yesterday with 2 wins from 4 bets, +6.75 points if backing them all. Caufield’s Venture responded well to the visor and was always travelling well – he is worth keeping an eye on next time out – it is just whether he responds to the headgear in the same way again. The Easterby winner just clung on from the front, the 25p R4 reducing the price to 3.75/1, but still better than an SP of 9/4. The Ger Lyons horse was backed off the boards into 3/1 from 8/1 and although he was too keen and may not have stayed – consistently taking 8/1 about 3/1 shots will pay handsomely over time.
I think that takes the running total for the tips/shortlist/big race previews to +16.25 points for the months, with the systems adding another +19 so far. (a bit more if being cautious about Balding) = +35.25 total
No Tip today – the racing is quite poor and there were no chases that excited me, or any other races for that matter. There are a couple of interesting shortlist horses though…
2.00 New – Sakhees Gem 20/1 (bet365) – The trainer is 3/14, 6 places with handicap debutants in the last 2 years. This horse is exposed against quite a lot of these having run a few times in maidens. However, he ran well to be beaten 5l in a decent sales race here LTO over 6f. He looks like he wants further so the step up in trip also catches the eye. The ground is an unknown as there is rain about – but at that price I am happy to have a dart.
4.55 New – Nice Future – 7/2 – trainer has a decent record with handicap debutants at the Newmarket tracks – 8/28, 12 places, +26 SP. This horse won a maiden on soft and has had a slight break – maybe waiting for softer ground. 7/2 is just about fair and he looks interesting.
3.35 Font: Laughton Park (20/1 or under) / Taradrewe (12/1 or under)
4.10 Font: Fergal Mael Duin (14/1 or under)
Fahey 2yo (16/1 or under)
2.00 New – Inaam (NON QUALIFIER)*
*apologies – i have already backed him but shouldn’t have. The rules as I had them saved did not take account of jockey claim, as such with the claim of horse above he is not bottom weight. However, we do not want to be backing any clear bottom weights, regardless of any jockey claims on horses above. Apols if you have backed him – clear bottom weights (excluding jockey claims) are 0/20. I wonder what will happen now!
NTD (16/1 or under)
5.05 Worc – Guiting Power
2.00 New – Motdaw (16/1 or under)
4.55 New – Breslin (16/1 or under)
7.55 Kempt – Replenish
That is all for today. There will be a post up at some point about Cheltenham – some interesting trainer angles for the upcoming meeting – and I will look at some trends etc as well.
Signing off, 08.40. Good Luck