In this post I’ve highlighted a few trainers who do well with horses making their seasonal return during the months of October and November. This means the horse hasn’t run since the 1st May 2021. Knowing if a horse is fit is one of the challenges to finding winners and making money at this time of year. One edge is to be track side and of course it’s a big positive if a horse has previously won on seasonal return. Many trainers can get a horse fit at home but working out who’s fit and who’s fat while sat at home is a challenge. It’s often best not to guess in this game, if possible. Of course we could all sit out the early weeks of October/November, but where’s the fun in that?
Below you can find 10 trainer ‘micro angles’ / ‘starting points’ which may help.
The starter set of data, applicable to all :-
- UK National Hunt
- October & November
- Horse had 0 runs this season (1st May >) (includes horses having first career start)
- Any odds
- 2013 > (8 full seasons)
The first set looks at those trainers who may target certain tracks, the second who’ve done well in certain race types.
Trainers / Tracks
Starter set above, all runners…
A Honeyball/ Fontwell: 27 bets / 11 wins / 19p / 41% sr/ +19 SP / +24 BFSP / BFAE 1.59
R Curtis/Ffos Las: 35 bets / 11 wins / 21p / 31% sr / +13 SP / +19 BFSP / BFAE 1.36
N Twiston-Davies/Chepstow: 36 bets / 10 wins / 18p / 28% sr / +31 SP / +28 BFSP / BFAE 2.22
V Williams/Ascot: 33 bets / 8 wins / 12p / 24% sr / +36 SP / +47 BFSP / BFAE 2.14
N Henderson/Aintree: 24 bets / 8 wins / 11p / 33% sr / +22 SP / +26 BFSP / BFAE 1.64
V Williams/Handicap Chase (all)/Age 4-8: 140 bets / 34 wins / 59p / 24% sr / +125 SP / +170 BFSP / BFAE 1.83
H Fry/NH Flat & Handicap Hurdles: 105 bets / 30 wins / 53p / 29% sr / +59 SP / +80 BFSP / BFAE 1.56
F O’Brien/NH Flat: 57 bets / 17 wins / 25p / 30% sr / +36 SP / +53 BFSP / BFAE 1.81
A Honeyball/Handicap Chase (all): 34 bets / 12 wins / 13p / 35% sr / +58 SP / +77 BFSP / BFAE 2.47
D Skelton/Novice Chase: 23 bets / 10 wins / 14p / 43% sr / +20 SP / +25 BFSP / BFAE 1.44
Hopefully those stats may point you to a few winners in the coming weeks.
If you missed my previous free post, you can read it below…