[Free] Saturday’s Big Race Trends & Trainers (complete)

The Cambridgeshire + TV trainer pointers

This week just the one big handicap in focus, The Cambridgeshire handicap. There’s the trends and trainers. I’ve applied them and listed those horses representing trainers who’ve previously won the race.

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PART1

The Cambridgeshire Handicap

13/411, 52p

13/13 were within 15lb of the bottom rated horse (16lb+ : 0/60, 5p)

13/13 had yet to run over 1m5f+ (had: 0/48, 6p)

13/13 had 26 or fewer career starts (27+ : 0/89, 7p)

13/13 had 8 or fewer starts this calendar year (9+ : 0/65, 3p)

13/13 horse had 2-6 career wins (did not: 0/81, 7p)

12/13 were 8th or lower in the weights (exc claims) (Top 7, inc joints: 1/95, 10p)

12/13 were running at same class or up in class (dropping: 1/54, 3p)

12/13 had 3-8 runs in previous 365 days (had not: 1/144, 7p)

12/13 had 3-8 runs this season (had not: 1/98, 6p)

12/13 had been ridden by today’s jockey 0-3 times (4+ : 1/99, 7p)

12/13 had 1+ handicap win (0: 1/57, 4p)

12/13 ran in a handicap LTO (non-handicap: 1/83, 4p)

12/13 ran in C2 or 3 LTO (Class 1: 1/50, 3p) (ran in Group 3 or Listed LTO: 0/50, 2p)

12/13 ran 11+ days ago (10< : 1/48, 3p)

10/13 had finished top 2 at least once last 3 starts (had not: 3/126, 11p)

Other

  • Horses wearing tongue tie: 0/21,0p
  • Horse had run at Group 1 Level: 0/31, 3p
  • Horse making handicap debut: 0/17,0p

Trainers

  • John Gosden: 3/18, 3p
  • M Tregoning: 2/8,3p
  • X1: P Cole, T Tate, R Fahey, B Meehan, H Morrison, I Mohammed, M Wigham, M Meade

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PART 2

Applying the trends

Hmm… a profile of being rated with 15lb of lowest rated (although the sort of stat that can be blown out of water as races get classier etc), had yet to run beyond 1m5f in career, 3-8 runs in last 365 days, 0-8 runs this calendar year, 2-6 career wins and 26 or fewer career runs… points to a longer list of 12… (12/13, 12/151, 35p) Applying the other trends doesn’t really help either, so i’ll leave it as it is… (2 non-runners since, leaving 10)

Anmaat H1, Irish Admiral, Dance Jupiter, Montather, Lucander, Ametist, Fastnet Crown, Power of Darkness, Naval Commander, Epic Endeavour,

Trainers (to have won race last 13 renewals, with runners)

  • Uncle Bryn H2, Magical Morning
  • Majestic Dawn
  • Spirit Dancer, Hartswood
  • Power Of Darkness

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PART 3

Trainer pointers for other TV races/those to have won said race, with runners…

1.50 Newmarket

  • Masekela H1
  • Royal Patronage H2 G1
  • Howth H4 G2
  • Seattle King

2.05 Haydock

  • Latest Generation
  • Afaak

2.25 Newmarket

  • Sacred Bridge H2
  • Sandrine H3 G1
  • Tenebrism

2.40 Haydock

  • Jawwaal H2 G1
  • Premier Power G2
  • Mountan Peak
  • Show Me Show Me

3.00 Newmarket

  • Caturra H4 G4
  • HMS Endeavour/ New York City

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