Milansbar – 1 point EW – 28/1
Final Nudge – 1 point win – 40/1
Houblon Des Obeaux – 1 point win – 33/1
Maggio – 1 point win – 100/1 (bet365) 80/1 (gen)
I’m running out of time this morning so not much of a write up. I have an awful record in this race over the last 11 years or so since becoming a racing nut, so you have been warned! 🙂 I think it is the only ‘National’ (inc all the regional ones) that I have yet to tip the winner of on here so fingers crossed one of these four can end that hoodoo! I can’t say I’m expectant.
Milansbar – he is the only horse in the whole race to tick every box on my unique stats profile and given his price it was as simple as that. He has very solid staying chase form to his name nad Bryony gets on very well with him. This may be one race too many, he may not be good enough, but if he takes to the fences he should just keep going. If he doesn’t win then the odd major stat of mine is going to be busted, hopefully by one of those below…
Final Nudge – well I fixated on the Chepstow Welsh National run I suppose and the fact I tipped him LTO at Cheltenham, so I thought i’d stick with him. He ‘could be anything’ around here, including tailed off!
Houblon Des Obeaux – the blinkers appear to have sparked more life into him and given the form of the stable, I just couldn’t resist. This race has a very strange feel this year. He has experience of the fences and should just keep going. There’s a chance 4/5 may be 30L clear by then but at 33s I won’t over-think it too much. He should relish conditions and while not the force of old this race feels odd and like plenty may just fall in a hole with the winner being the last horse still going.
Maggio – hmmm… maybe I just wanted to tip a 100/1 shot! But, given young Brendan’s dad won over these fences I believe it would be quite the ‘story’. He is lightly raced for his age and bolted up here in the 3m1f handicap chase a couple of years back. This has no doubt been the plan and he may outrun these odds and plod on. Of the monster priced ones I thought why the hell not. Given I think this rails feels strange and as if anything could happen, I thought it best to throw a dart at a real biggie.
Of the rest… well, you can make a case for nearly all if not all runners in this! Picking a name may be no bad strategy in truth. Honourable mentions for Tiger Roll / I Just Know / The Dutchman / Raz De Maree.
I’ve mentioned 8 horses there and they could all finish unplaced!
GL with whatever you go with.
Vicontey Du Noyer – 1 point win – 20/1
Bells Of Ailsworth – 1 point win – 10/1
No time for write ups.
I take +35 points into today from the first two days, across the free posts and member’s Festival tips. I’ve laid out 12 points today so guaranteed a decent profit whatever happens.
Best of luck,