Nothing from me on Tuesday.
A mad 20 days of ‘tipping’…
Well, my tipping profits have always come in spikes… +90 points in Jan 2016 with free tips (3m+ chases), +62 points in Festival Week 2017, +130 odd points in Sept/Oct 2017 with Members Notes (mostly all on The Flat) and now +129.5 points in 2018, since the start of The Festival (Festival Week tips + Free Tips… I think ‘notes’ tips are -7 or so in that time).
This latest spell is by far my most productive, maybe I’m getting better after all 🙂
16 races / 8 wins / +129.5 points.
(quite good fun for my £20 per point, but even for £2.50 bets that’s not a bad few weeks) Winners: Mr Whitaker 9s,Bleu Berry 28s,Missed Approach 12s,Kilbricken Storm 50s,Blow By Blow 12s,Regal Flow 25s,Looks Like Power 10s,General Principle 33s.
I’ll try and keep that up through to Aintree! But that’s the way it goes and why I tend to keep faith in my approach. I can have 4-8 month spells where I don’t do much at all really…. -20-40 points say, and then wallop. Ideally I’d bottle the mindset of the last 20 days and try and ensure I’m a bit more consistent. I’m trying. In effect since the start of November 2017 to 12th March my free tips and members’ notes horses were probably around -25 to -35 points or so. That’s a quiet 5 months. (notes horses haven’t done anything this jumps season, -18 points as I write since the end of the Flat I think, or thereabouts. They are due a spike!!) 🙂
A lesson in keeping the faith, if you trust in your own approach. I do clearly need to work on how I translate such form to more mundane racing, Monday-Friday, but the back end of last Flat season indicated there may be hope on that front. Maybe it’s just a case of ‘notes’ for the Summer months, and ‘Festival Week Style Tips’ for the winter jumps season! Time will tell.
‘My Horse’ , Blessed To Empress (upped my stake to 5%, I had to spend the Festival winnings on something and I prescribe to the ‘I could get hit by a bus tomorrow’ school of thought, life’s too short, so sod it!) runs in the 2.20 Lingfield. She is short enough in my view given the absence and she is unlikely to be 100% – I expect her to come on for the run. But she should be fit enough to do herself justice. She appears to have enjoyed her holiday but time will tell if she trains on. She isn’t very big so there won’t be much physical improvement, but having a rest and a mental recharge could eek out more. I think she has 5-10lb in hand (would have won at Lingfield under SDS but for fluffing the start/a troubled run through) and will be winning another sprint handicap or two soon enough. Fingers crossed she surprises me today and bolts up!