Members Daily Post: 06/03/18 (complete)

TTP AW…

1.All Qualifiers Against Stats Pack/Ratings Pointers

2.Any ‘Notes’ (my subjective thoughts/’tips’)

3.Micro System Test Zone

4.Any general messages/updates etc

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1.All Qualifiers Against Stats Pack/Ratings Pointers

None…both Jumps meetings abandoned.

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KEY

H1/H3 = HorseRaceBase Top Rated or Top 3 Rated (at time of posting)

G1/G3 = Geegeez Gold Speed Ratings (Dr Peter May) Top Rated or Top 3 Rated

I1/I3 =  Inform Racing Speed Ratings – Top Rated or Top 3

14,30 = Geegeez Gold ‘trainer form’ indicators. 14 – 5+ runs last 14 days, 20% win sr OR 51%+ place (inc wins) sr. 30 – 10+ runs last 30 days, 20% win sr OR 51%+ place (inc wins) sr

ES – ‘Elite Squad’ qualifiers:  Flat : HER     Jumps 2017/18HERE>>>

ES + – Elite Squad ‘Plus’ +   (rationale/ angles in link above)

S1-S6 : S = ‘Strategy’ and refers to the ‘advised strategies’ in the link below. S1 = ‘Strategy 1’. Added on morning of racing along with the price. w1 – won last start.   w2 – won two starts ago (tracking as of 15th Feb 2018)

‘Advised Flat Strategies‘: Flat 2017 Read HERE>>>   (updated to end 12th Nov – End of Flat 2017)

‘Advised Jumps Strategies’: Jumps 2017/18 Read HERE>>>  (updated to end 18th Feb 2018)

Research Articles: (TTP reports/Test Zone/Monthly Articles/Big Meetings Notes/David Peat Profiles) READ HERE>>>

VIDEOS: Members Repository: HERE>>> . All Public (non members only) Videos HERE>>>

IMPORTANT: Welcome Info  HERE>>> (please read) (inc must watch videos :)) 

Contact: email:  – info@racingtoprofit.co.uk  … or failing that… racingtoprofit@gmail.com 

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2.Any ‘Notes’ (my subjective thoughts/’tips’)

none.

 

3.Micro System Test Zone

TTP AW 

3.20 South – Samtu (4yo+) H1 I3 G3 2/1  S2 S4 

5.20 South- Traumatised (m1) ES+. 20/1 S3A

 

4.Any general messages/updates etc

NOTE From today/Wednesday you may see me pushing the special Festival offer which will be £9 for 14 days or so, covering Festival week, of which as with last tear there will be no free content on the blog. If you are reading this you DO NOT have to do anything as all Festival coverage is included as part of your subscription and/or trial period. 

 

CHELTENHAM FESTIVAL 2018

REPORT 1 READ HERE>>>

REPORT 2:  READ HERE>>>

 

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Do join in the conversation below, we're a friendly bunch.. all questions welcome, and do share your selections or thoughts

14 Responses

  1. Cracking start to this evening’s racing at Wolves with 3 winners from the first 3 races. Always a worry when you put up so many qualifiers but has worked out tonight. Would it be rude to wish for more? 🙂

    AW racing comes from Southwell tomorrow. Qualifiers as follows:
    2.20 Run with Pride 10/1 & Foxy Boy 12/1
    2.50 Lean on Pete 9/2
    3.20 Brigadoon 10/1 & Samtu 4/1
    4.50 Princess Way 13/2 & Magic in the Making 6/1
    1pt win

    Good Luck.

    1. OK we’ll settle for 3 wins! With a 15p R4 for Barnaby Brook that leaves us with 9.3pts profit for the day.

  2. Just recently I have been bombarded with emails from a chap called Tosh Laidlaw. Can anyone shed any light on this person? It sounds too good to be true and probably a scam. David

    1. One to avoid. Make Money Forum’s review of his Win Supremacy Service on 4th March says it all. Nothing more than a serial marketeer.
      Patrick

  3. Josh, I wonder what your thoughts are on the significance of the ground next week? Looking at the forecast for the next few days, the likelihood is for soft ground, at least for the Tuesday. To what extent do you think this would influence the ‘winning profile’ of a horse as defined by your stats pack?

    1. Hi Jack,
      Well, it could throw plenty up in the air given how few Festivals are ‘officially’ run on Soft… many of the ‘winning profiles’ look at the horse profiles in terms of number of runs, handicap wins, days since run etc. I’d think they would be similar…but an argument could be made that in softer ground, it is much harder work, more guts/determination/stamina/attitude is required and as such you may not want to put all eggs in the ‘unexposed’ basket. Siding with the odd hardy warrior who is well handicapped on old form may be no bad thing.
      Just one of those, it’s tricky…
      The usual thinking is that the big field (good gallop/properly run race) and Good/Good to Soft, is what drives the total transformation in some horses, who suddenly appear thrown in…having been pottering around in tactical affairs, graded novices, small field, heavy ground, etc… that’s the flip come festival week which sees horses step forward, stamina reserves coming to the fore yet to be seen in a horses career etc.
      Just a case of being more cautious maybe, and I am better at using stats as a guide I think rather than being dogmatic.
      But yep, in general, most of the stats derive from races run on Good/Good to soft.
      Time will tell!
      I’m due a shocker of a year haha, haven’t had one since I started blogging at Festival, 4 now I think.. I’ll get my ground excuses at the ready!! 🙂
      Josh

      1. I have been to Cheltenham the last 12 years and have seen the going change each day and by lunchtime from what is was in the morning. I have been out there at 8.30 walking the course (there is a place where you can get in from 7 AM on the far side of the course) and the going has been good to soft and then good at lunch time and getting firmer. Therefore unless it rains near or during racing taking place it will dry out. I have often seen watering going on to keep it good. It dries there quickly and so don’t worry about rain unless it is heavy over a prolonged period. Don’t let it mislead you.

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