Venetia Williams: THE November Angle
Venetia Williams, arguably the most glamourous trainer in the National Hunt game, whizzing from course to course in her Aston Martin and expensive coats, usually comes alive at this time of year.
Specifically she comes alive with her chasers. I/we, have followed the angle below for the last three years or so I think. Certainly from 2015. You will see from the table below that last year wasn’t as good on the profit front, but it was still a profit. The figures for the last 5 seasons are a bit mad.
What can we expect this year? Well, she is due a dud one year. It could be this year. Early signs are promising, having had a winner already at Carlisle who would have qualified against this angle if it was November. The indications are that yet again she has got her string fit at home.
Let’s get to it…
- Venetia Williams
- Beginners Chase / Handicap Chase / Handicap Novice Chase
- November (follow back end October…from now)
- Horse Runs In last 90 Days: NOT exactly 1.
- 16/1 or shorter SP
Top Level: 108 bets / 35 wins / 53 places / 32% win SR / +158 SP / +190 BFSP / AE 1.91 /(+42 BF Place market)
-Within the same rule, in Handicap Hurdles, Venetia is 5/45,15p, -10. Indeed in all race types outside of those selected, in the period analysed/same rules, she is 14/91,28p, -20, AE 0.88
-Within the system above… those sent off bigger than 16/1 are 0/14,2p. Those older than 10 are now 0/7,0p, so again, something to keep an eye on.
-The 90 day rule… those that had 1 run in the previous 90 days, and hit all the other rules, are… 5/56,17p, -26 SP. There is plenty of logic for that, which I can’t be bothered to explain! I could record a video but it has just gone midday on Friday 27th Oct and my to-do list isn’t getting any shorter! The rule makes sense to me. And every trainer rule must have logic really.
That’s it I think. Qualifiers will be posted on the free blog posts, as they always will be until this angle is no longer useful. That will be a sad day. It may be this year so, as ever, some caution. But, use it as you please.