Flat 2017: 60+ Day Trainers
4.00 Hayd – Yattwee (14/1<) 2nd 8/1>4/1 (no excuse there really)
Trainer/Jockey Combo – Live Test
4.40 Sedge – Aristocracy
My Members’ Bet of The Day
(it’s still a test, it may turn out i’m best sticking to systems and outside of 3m+ chases/big race trends etc, my tipping isn’t up to much 🙂 – but the stats are decent enough in terms of ROI etc…)
Bet of The Day… (test) (Flat: 7/67,24p, +1.9) (Jumps: 9/63, +24.5) (total: 17/130, +26.6)
4.10 Sedge – Master Of Finance – 1 point win – 9/2 2nd 3/1
Well I don’t often moan about rides as it all evens out etc etc (you back many winners,that win due to poor rides in behind).. but what was Hughes doing??? That horse often races prominently and if he had him sat ‘in the van’ tracking pace, then gets after him earlier, he wins that. Closing all the way to the line, gave him far too much to do. That’s racing. On we go. He is a bit of a monkey, or can be, so understand idea of delivering late.. albeit when he won at Ayr he hit front long way out and didn’t have to pass anything. If he tracks in second he may take that up top of run, and may have kept going. Anyway. Line under that now.
9/2 seems fair enough for this one given that he is 0/3,1p in handicap hurdles and I can live in hope that he will show more one day in this sphere – and where better place than Sedgefield where the racing is generally at the lower end… but much more engrossing than say a card at Yarmouth!! (or is that just me?) It helps that he is an ES qualifier but he does have an interesting profile and the ‘story’ makes sense.
On his second start for Jefferson he won an Ayr maiden hurdle in impressive style…a race that has produced the odd winner and numerous placed horses. That was last October, nearly 1 year ago. He then raced in a novice hurdle with a penalty I assume and ran with credit. He was then pitched into a G2 novice hurdle at Haydock where the late Neon Wolf won well (poor soul, cruel game this at times. He had a bright future) He then ran well at Market Rasen at this level, to finish 2nd where possibly the soft over 17f blunted his speed/and took it’s toll stamina wise in the latter stages. While they may get rain here hopefully it wont be soft. He ran well again at Wetherby where some crunching errors may have taken their toll in the closing stages but the front two were miles clear and the winner would go on to win again/run well. They then removed the CP and replaced with blinkers in an Aintree C2 at the GN meeting. I don’t think he is up to that level. He then ran at Hexham, again running with credit but not quite doing enough. There were subsequent winners around him though that day. And by that point it was his 6th hurdle start since December and he may well have needed a break.
He then got the break, returning in a hot C2 York Handicap on 25th August having had nearly three months off. I would hope that has put him spot on for this. Hughes returns to the saddle and this is a weak enough race. He races prominently and should be in the right place when Beyondtemptation fades. He has generally been consistent over hurdles and should give backers a run for their money. Oh and the blinkers have gone and the CP return. He has run his best jumps races in that headgear, and had none on in that York race.
So, he will do, on what looks another tricky day. I am happy to take the fav on.. he is unexposed and won a weak novice impressively the last day. He may win again here but this will be harder. The Nick Williams horse should run his race also, but again happy to take on. We have a pro in the plate also and that guile and nous could be worth a few pounds.
Oh and one more bit from my members’ notes…
5.10 Hayd- well I would be surprised if the qualifier won this (famous last words) , esp giving his liking for Good to Firm… but DIAMONDS A DANCING.. did catch my eye when looking at the race… you know I love a front runner and I thought he could get an uncontested lead. Gillard is good from the front, as we saw at Sedgefield for our 20/1 winner a couple of days back, for the same owner/trainer… McCain is in fine form, as is the horse- running consistently. 7s seems big, and is based on the idea that he may be handicapped to the hilt. He may be, and does need to improve again…but the return to further will help, as will his tactical position… I had a go at 7s to see if he could stay there all the way. Do with that as you please!
That’s the lot for today. GL with any bets.