A King (16/1<)
2.10 Yarm- Silca Star UP
2.20 York- Cosmeapolitan UP
Trainer/Jockey Combo – Live Test
3.40 Worc – Icanmotor (12/1< guide)
Ground etc is a bit of a minefield for most tracks today and as such I am wary of diving in anyway. So, on a quiet enough day, below is today’s Members’ Bet of The Day…
Nice to reach the 10 winner milestone, but my word young Murphy nearly gave me a heart attack. Very lucky boy there, nearly miss-judged the easing down somewhat!
Bet of The Day… (test) (Flat: 2/10,8p, +12.8) (Jumps: 8/49, +30.5) (total: 10/59, +43.3 points) (or +£433 to £10 bets/per point)
8.05 Perth – Moscow Calling – 1 point win – 11/1 (general) UP
This one looks the most interesting bet on the day for me. And given what is happening over the Pond, quite apt! There are possible showers and if this goes on the soft side I am into unknown territory but at a double figure price I will take a chance. The softening of the ground would pose questions for a few, including the fav. Anyway, this one is lightly raced which is where I try and focus/have had most success so far with this ‘test’. It looks like he stays this trip and it is only his 3rd handicap hurdle run. Three things caught the eye really… his best run was on handicap debut a couple of starts ago. That run was after a break and in first time blinkers. He returns here after a break and in first time cheekpieces. Horses at this level often have a flaw or two and maybe changing headgear and being fresh are the key. So that’s two boxes ticked. The third is the drop in class, from 4 to a weak looking C5 where most have questions. Those are the reasons why he could out-run his odds here. The fav looks decent but will need to prove he stays but I did find it of some interest that Dickie is up here when Hobbs has a few at Worcester (yet to look at his other rides). And, I never want to get into a position where I don’t back a 10s+ shot because I am scared of the fav. Not good. The selection should also race prominently in a line up full of hold up types. Another tick. He will do. His stablemate may be worth a ‘saver’ as that would be annoying – he does take a massive step up in trip but is half the price. I think that may work wonders but given how many runs he has had over shorter it smacks a bit of desperation. But 24f may be what he has needed all along. I don’t think he will want any rain.
Have You Read This?
Hugh Fowler’s latest 2-Y-O post can be read HERE>>>
An interesting read as ever.
60 Flat Horses To Follow 2017
If you missed yesterday’s email about this special offer (£3.19 for a decent read) you can read that HERE>>>
That is all for today.
Good luck with any bets.