Trainer/Jockey Combo – Live Test
2.15 Worc- Butlergrove King (16/1< guide)
2.45 Worc – Rude And Crude (14/1<)
3.20 Worc – Guanciale (16/1< guide)
4.55 Worc – Rockchasebullet (12/1<)
5.25 Worc – Mr Kit Cat (12/1<)
PACE WINS THE RACE (test)
(running total, 0/1,0p, -1)
1.50 Chester – Berkshire – 1 point win 7/1 (general) UP
8.25 Carlisle – Mrs Grass – 1 point win – 9/2 (general) UP
*bugger…always annoying when they don’t lead when you thought they might, albeit it wouldn’t have mattered given the winner is clearly very smart. He was keen but I knew he may be, so that isn’t an excuse. Would have been nice to give fav backers a scare turning in,not to be.
Berkshire – I think there is plenty to like about his chances here. Obviously I think he may try and make all, if they want. Yes Norton and Hart may want their charges handy but this on’es legs just move quicker and if Spencer wants to lead/dictate, I think he can. There is no pace on his inside and he should be able to get out and across. I am a massive Spencer fan, I like marmite (actually, I don’t, horrid stuff, but you get my point) and he is superb from the front, a fine judge of pace. He is also pretty good around here in C2 handicaps – 5/19,6p, +28 SP in the last 5 years. We could probably back him blind in such races for the rest of his career and do ok. Before getting to the horse, the trainer… he is in form, 5/22,8p the last 30 days, 2/12,4p the last 14. They are going well. The horse.. well he is smart on his day and I find it interesting that he runs in a handicap here. He is 2/4 after breaks of 60+ days and has won after similar breaks. He will be fit enough to win if they want him to be. The trainer is also 6/30,9p with handicap debutants and given this one’s back class, he could win well here and have a fair bit in hand. He is also top on the Geegeez Speed ratings which is always a positive. I think he looks interesting here. Hopefully they make all but even if Spencer tracks anyone that goes past him, he should run his race. The market may well guide.
Mrs Grass – this is an awful race and I think the lead is Irving’s, if he wants it. And provided all the others run as they have been doing on recent runs. She was 4lb out the handicap the last day but went very close over CD. I think a repeat of that run puts her right in the mix here. She should be able to dictate and every other horse in here has plenty of questions also. If you were to look at her profile you may not touch her but at this level, being in form/fit counts for plenty. There is no excuse for a poor run from what I can see. Irving should play catch me if you can. Hopefully nothing does. Oh, and the tongue tie returns. I found that interesting. It hasn’t been worn since last November and given both her career wins have come when wearing it, that is another tick in the box. She should go well for a time. Maybe after the last something will have more in hand/class, but I will roll the dice to find out. Any money for the Candlish horse may be significant given his profile, he is the only really unexposed one in here. And Uriah Heep, 12s, could be a danger if he needed his last run…mark has fallen through the floor.
That is all for today. Good luck with any bets. Josh