Urg. Well, a bump back down to earth there with Emma Soda… where have those trends/stats gone… I would make the same bet again at 10s I think- a couple of niggles but worth a stab at that price. No problems there. In the end the two finishers had 10-00 and in effect 8-9 on their backs. With persistent rain that ground was very heavy and only two could handle it/combined with their light weight, it would seem. It was good to soft this morning with ‘blustery showers’ due..the ground was soon heavy by 1pm. But, I thought that increased the selections chance- I just got that wrong. I didn’t expect a PU that’s for sure- maybe the ground/weight was just too much. Or she just wasn’t on a going day.
The Last Bridge.. hmm. Well you had to forgive him plenty but this was his time of year, he had placed in this race when Emma Soda had won. His mark had plummeted since, and for good reason really- today he was on a going day, enhancing his record with a low weight and in March. Him placing in this race before was probably a reason to give him a closer look but I can’t say I was anywhere near him- 25s- moody bugger, but as I have said you can always forgive a horse plenty at those odds. I was nowhere near to solving that puzzle today.
At least my ‘bet of the day’ test in the Members section found another winner… now 4 from last 6 bets, 4/11,4p total, +22 points– so, that’s going ok.
K Lee Chasers (12/1<)
4.10 Lud – Grey Gold (x2 angles)
Trainer/Jockey Combo – Live Test
4.10 Lud – Grey Gold (12/1<)
Nothing else really jumping out and what is likely to another quiet day I will just repeat my Members post ‘Bet of the Day…
Another winner on Wednesday for ‘Bet of The Day’ (test) : 4/11,4p = +22 points
Bet of The Day
3.50 Chep- Loughalder – 1 point win – 9/1
This old boy owes me and longer term blog readers nothing having won for the blog before at decent prices. He isn’t getting any younger but given his form around here in handicap chases – 4/8,5p, and that of the trainer – 2/6,3p last 14 days, 3/15,4p last 30 days, at 9/1 he is worth a go I think. He could well become a ‘RP10/1+’ qualifiers if drifting to 11.00+ on Betfair but as I write at around 8am 9/1 is the widely available price.
He is a mercurial character, with the ability to bounce back from a PU with a win. LTO at Uttoxeter he went well for a long way in the race before fading, but at least he completed. March-May is usually more his time of year and there is a chance he tries to make all- or in any case be up there with Paddy The Oscar. He stays much further than this and if he could bounce back to that Warwick form from earlier in the season, he would be in the mix here for sure. It is a moderate race. There are a few younger/unexposed ones but at his price I will have ago, and see if we can make it 5/12.