Video 1
A look at Venetia Williams + Liam Treadwell…
Micro Angles
Starting set of data:-
- 2014/15/16/17
- Handicap Chases (excludes Novice Handicaps)
- Trainer: Venetia Williams
- Jockey: Liam Treadwell
#1
- Horse Runs 90 Days: 0
- 14/1 or shorter SP (0/9,1p over this)
34 bets / 12 wins / 11 places / +45 SP / +55 BFSP / AE 2.14
#2
- Horse Last Ran: 21-25 Days Ago
- 8/1 or shorter SP (0/12,0 p over this to date)
26 bets / 8 wins / 11 places / +23 SP / +28 BFSP / AE 1.74
#3
- Horse Distance Move: Up 2-3.5f from last run
- No Odds
33 bets / 9 wins / 14 places / +36 SP / +47 BFSP / AE 1.78
#4 (further addition)
- Horse Position In Weights: Clear Top or Bottom (inc Joints)
- 0-2 Runs previous 90 Days (0/18,2p, 3+)
- 14/1<
25 bets / 11 wins / 14 places / +39 SP / + 41 BFSP / AE 2.12
Notes:
All bar 2 of the winners in #3 are covered in angles 1+2,.
There are 3 winners in #4 not covered by the rest pattern angles in 1+2. But, they will clearly throw up winners outside of 1+2 and they may help you have more confidence over certain selections say.
Angles 1+2 cover different horses/qualifiers meaning that combined they are…
60 bets / 20 wins / 25 places (inc wins) / 33% win SR / +68 SP / +83 BFSP
Those angles look worth keeping onside and from what I can see are the only/main profitable systematic approaches.
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Video 2
Alan King and first time headgear..
Ah well my technology appears to have given up the ghost for the time being so one video will have to do!
In any case, there isn’t too much on Alan King except to say that any horse in a first time Visor is worth a second glance/serious consideration…
since 2014…, all runners, all race types… 14 bets / 4 wins / 7 places / 28% wsr / +22 SP / AE 1.66
He appears to know when to apply this particular aide.
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That will be all for this post.
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P.S Don’t forget that if you do like your trainer behaviour micro angles etc, you should grab Matt Bisogno’s free gift over at Geegeez towers. You can get hold of that HERE>>>
4 Responses
hi josh
just to clarify *3, up in distance 2 to 3.5 f, LTO days = any
Yep no days since run, or horse run 90 days criteria for that one. And the odd biggie has placed also.
I’m also kind of disappointed by the results. I mean, shouldn’t the micro systems make lots of money even without the ratings pointers? E.g. we find that some trainer runs at 100% roi and 25% strike rate for 5 years based on some criteria, but when we back that angle there’s just loss after loss and we’re lucky to break even – we need third party stats about top rated horses to make some profit. What am I missing here? How can a 100% roi angle suddenly make losses, unless we add the G1, H1, I1 filters?
Sorry, wrong thread