Ah well Saturday was one of those great profit making days, the kind of day you get when you aim your punting guns at angles with no odds caps and horses in the 6/1+ range… around +30 points across the blog, including a winning tip (yep, I can’t believe it either, I have watched the race again, and it appears I did indeed find a winner. Armageddon must be near 🙂 ) The ratings pointers had a cracker with 3/4 i think, winners at 8/1, 7/1, 8/1. That will do. After a brilliant start to the year the wheels somewhat came off that approach in recent weeks, but I think this week has got back any losses and gone back into profit I think, certainly to BFSP, although I need to update results.
The 10/1+ shots are on a bit of a poor run, but having looked back to October, such bets were +266 points to BFSP before Feb. It can get choppy when you are constantly backing 10s+ shots, but as Sat proved with the ratings pointers, you can wipe out any losses in quick time. Whenever that time comes.
The success of VLR at Haydock was another exciting indicator for my stats/trends/winning profile approach. That same approach will shortlist plenty of winners at the Spring Festivals I think- just a case of how many my own pins land on!
Anyway, that was yesterday, we move on.
Not much today. My head is slightly sore. There is a decent C3 handicap chase at Ffos Las.. 3.50- I will probably back Bob Ford, 5s is just about ok- only as he is a TTP ratings pointer horse, against both HRB and Geegeez Speed… also he hasn’t run in a C3 chase since his last win here in Dec 15, having been highly tried over fences since then. This is much easier, he is below his last winning mark,and how young mr Moore can still claim is beyond me (ok I know why he can technically!). Many a fully fledged pro would like to be blessed with his ability. I suspect they may try and be forceful with him as he does like his own way up front. Bowen’s may be up there. I think Bob Ford looks a stronger stayer than Pearl Swan and Little Jon, and if this is a soft ground slog he will keep going – if he hasn’t been pulled up come the business end! My gut says given his Ps that 5s may be too short, but Curtis is in good form and the horse likes it here.
Harry Fry Mares (10/1<)
2.00 MR- Queen Odessa