Vieux Lion Rouge – 1 point win – 7/1 (general)
Well I am going to trust my stats here as having looked at them in the Members post he ticks the ‘winning profile’ that I came up with, the only one to do so. He also ticks other positives of finishing Top 2 LTO and having a win in his last 4 starts. There is no perfect stats/trends match in this. He has run in the Grand National and I think such types are 0/55,10p since 1997- but that isn’t exactly one of those logical stats.
Given he ‘qualifies’ against my approach I would be a bit annoyed were he to win. On paper he has some of the best recent form to offer and is still unexposed enough. After breaks of 60+ days he is 4/7,6 places, so fresh seems to be the best time to catch him. Now the National weights are out you would like to think he will be ready here and may be put away after this for the big one. Conditions looks fine and he went well for a long way in the National last year and by all accounts is a stronger horse this year. (if my memory of trainer quotes post becher are correct). Pipe has been quiet but had a winner at Sandown yesterday and maybe like Jonjo he is just hard to predict these days!
All in all he looks the solid option here. He is Top rated on geegeez speed and top 3 HRB also, which is a positive. I was struggling to make an enthusiastic case for much else and will stick with him.
There wasn’t anything at a massive price that interested me really.
Good luck if/whatever you go with here.
Kerry Lee Chasers (12/1<)
3.55 Winc- Grey Gold (12/1<)
SAT Trainer/Jockey Combos (14/1<)
2.25 Ascot – Sausalito Sunrise
3.35 Ascot – Royal Regatta
Trainer/Jockey Combo– Live Test
3.00 Ascot – Prime Venture (#4) (12/1< guide)
3.15 Hayd- Wakanda (#2) (12/1<)
4.20 Hayd – Palm Grey (#2) (12/1< )
Handicap Hurdle/Chase Portfolio– Live Test
3.00 Ascot – Connetable
That will be all for today. Good luck with any bets.