none. A couple of mediocre handicap chases on that day that I will leave. Both have a couple of TTP ‘ratings pointers’ horses in that I will no doubt have a go at. Our Bangor winner goes again here at Sedgefield, Cabrah. Looks like he could probably get the lead again, just whether lugging 12-5 will stop him. Looks big enough to carry it from memory but doubt he will be much of a price. Interesting how he goes though.
North Yorkshire National… ah well. I got that one wrong. I don’t mind backing Carrigdhoun at that price, that same thinking, part ‘gut’ which felt price was too big, will pick out the odd biggie every now and then. And I mean every now and then- once, twice a year if I’m lucky!
What can we (by we, I mean me!) learn..well I should take some positives… if I skip passed the write ups for my two, and ignore the fav who was a non-runner, the two next best ‘danger horses’ came 1st and 2nd. So, not too bad. What could we have done differently for that winner? Well, the main stumbling block/question, was stamina, and jumping in the context I didn’t think he would get an easy lead. Boy is he a lovely jumper when he gets his own way. I was surprised he got such an easy lead- but I suppose he just had youth on his side, and the best jockey of those on the front end actually. As soon as those tactics were employed it was evident connections had no concern over stamina. Game over. You could call him the winner a long long way out for me. So, we now know he stays! At 10s/12s, given that was the only question , he was unexposed over a trip like this, maybe an error. Smith was in form, she was a ‘January track pointer’ trainer, won the race last year, horse had course form, C3 is his level. Always seems obvious after the event! Close to picking him, but not close enough in truth. The trainer thinking alone should have seen me closer at evening odds.
Oh, and I suppose, as reflected on in comments to Tom as I pondered (when money comes for one it makes you think!) the way he has stayed over 25f/26f meant he was worthy of a shot at that trip,at his favourite course. He has just looked like a galoper. All the pieces were there, shame I didn’t have that clarity of thought at 10/12ss the evening before. Next time.
So, maybe, and I have said this before- it is asking for trouble having two old timers onside in a race that was fairly deep, and had a fair bit of youth in it. JV was right on that score. I was wrong.
Maybe there was more heart in picking those 12 year olds than I care to admit. Having 2 onside was clearly asking for trouble. They simply couldn’t go the pace. Still ran with credit.
The future… I think the top 4 are definite ones to take out. McCain’s has a staying chase in him one day, somewhere. Gonalston Cloud ran his race and bumped into one really, and he did come from much further back. He could do with a pace collapse I think, as happened at Market Rasen to an extent. But, he stays. And if is well placed has similar type events in him. ItsTimeForAPint ran better on that ground than I thought he might, albeit it was tacky.. he travelled comfortably and ran with credit. In heavy, low weight, I doubt many could live with him at C3/4 level. He has progressed from last year it seems. His turn may not be far away.
We move on, that’s done with now. Onto Warwick on Saturday.
NTD Unexp Chasers (18/54,28p since 2013,+66 SP, 5/9,6p 2016) (any odds)
2.20 Hunt – North And South- UP
Handicap Hurdle/Chase Portfolio– LIVE TEST
2.20 Hunt – North And South- UP
All Weather TTP
Me posting these on here seems to be a curse, but they have found decent priced winners this season, I promise.. (albeit I would be lying if I said I had kept a P/L tab…)
1.00 – Presence Process- G3
(UP,4th,very unlucky for EW backers,and even possibly win backers. Add to tracker. Got cut off in the run, game over,switched,finished well, not time to make up lost lengths. Next time maybe!)
5.00 – Bubblesontherise UP 25/1
7.00 – Winter Lion – H3 WON 10/3
8.00 – So Magical NR
7.45 – Chantecler