- The Ratings Pointers
- All Qualifiers against stats pack
- Any ‘Notes’ (subjective views mainly, on some of the qualifiers)
- Any general messages/updates etc
1.The Ratings Pointers
none. (albeit check Hereford below)
3.40 T – Magnus Romeo- UP
2.40 T – Kublai – PU*
Well it was clear that would happen pre race sadly,no money, drifted back out to 50s. These ones always hard to read- that was an atrocious run in conditions that should have suited much more. They either haven’t found the key to him yet/what his issue is,they simply haven’t been training him that hard in order to get mark down to ‘make sure’ when the money is down- or, he simply has lost all of his ability that he once showed for Hobbs. One to track. My instinct says as some point his price will crumble and he will bolt up at a gaff track somewhere- so one to track for me. This yard have form in that regard.
2. All Qualifiers against stats pack
Kublai (hncp hurdle) UP
Magnus Romeo (hncp hurdle + micro class) UP
That is all for ‘official’ qualifiers. Hereford have a meeting and there are stats in my guide from before it closed for three years, 2010/11/12. I post any qualifiers etc but these DO NOT count in official results. They have found a few winners so far, demonstrating that certain trainers remain creatures of habit-well, they all are to an extent. Anyway, do with these qualifiers as you please but they will not be counted in official results. In a couple of seasons time we may be able to approach them with some more confidence.
2.50 – Brydon Boy (hncp hurdle) H1 (HRB Top Rated,for interest) 2nd 13/2
3.Any ‘Notes’ (subjective views mainly, on some of the qualifiers)
Well no ‘non ratings’ qualifiers for the day, but some brief observations on the two ratings pointers, that I will be backing as usual.. Kublai is joint top Rated on geegeez speed- first time that has happened, two horses with the same figure. As such I have counted him as Top Rated and will do with those types moving forward. He has been put in at 40s with Bet365…(66s PP/BV) he gets the tongue tie for the first time, drops in trip and gets what looks like preferred better ground- ground/breathing may be excuses for those recent Ps. Oh and two were over fences,back hurdling here. And it is the third start for this trainer. Mark is dropping. Could be he has just gone at the game. The market can guide with this type from this yard- if that price collapses into 10s<, then hold on to your seats,as that could be a fun few minutes! He will probably be a PU again, but there is excitement,at least the evening before, backing one at that price where you could make a case for why there may be an improved performance. Dr Peter May’s methods (speed ratings) have clearly picked up something. I generally back win only by at that price I will go EW,in the hope he is well backed.
Magnus Romeo gets first time blinkers I think, and again the hope is that they work and would be the reason for an improved display.
Eye-Catchers… well Flugzeug ran his race in second, and with hindsight I clearly wish I backed him EW, going off at 25s. Never mind, hopefully some of you may have. His turn may not be far away, esp in deep ground, as he probably handles it better than most. You can see him winning back here or at somewhere like Plumpton/Fontwell..
Romeo Americo is worth adding to trackers I think- he travelled strongly here, jumping a bit scrappy, but was there abouts turning in and looked like he was going to sweep past them all and win! (well,that is how my mind imagined it!) Sadly he seemed to empty and plug on. Stamina was a doubt beforehand but you can’t go second guessing ratings pointers – well I don’t. They will and have , thrown up winners that can leave you bemused as to their lack of obvious chance on paper. So, it will be interesting if they drop him back to 2m4f or something- again I can see him going close soon enough, at slightly shorter trip.
Less said about the other two the better!
4.Any general messages/updates etc
Such has been the general success of the ratings pointers a blank/losing day always feels a bit odd! But, to manage some expectations, we wont be winning 38 points every week, or 90 points every month! (well, surely we won’t be) and we will back plenty of losers. Profit/fun/enjoyment is the main thing, over time.
Anyway, a VIDEO is below, a scoot around the members club, a discussion of these posts, the ratings pointers etc. And you get to listen to my dulcet tones, and see my face, I mean, what could be better than that! (many,many things, is the answer) 🙂
Hopefully you may find it of some use… (make a brew…)
KEY:(applicable across the blog)
H1/H3 = HorseRaceBase Top Rated or Top 3 Rated (at time of posting)
G1/G3 = Geegeez Gold Speed Ratings (Dr Peter May) Top Rated or Top 3 Rated
14,30 = Geegeez Gold ‘trainer form’ indicators. 14 – 5+ runs last 14 days, 20% win sr OR 51%+ place (inc wins) sr. 30 – 10+ runs last 20 days, 20% win sr OR 51%+ place (inc wins) sr
NOTE: In the ratings pointers above, BOLD indicates a ‘double qualifier,against both ratings’ in RED is a ‘double top rated qualifier- they are a perfect 3/3 so far…) (no such qualifiers today)
As always if you have any questions post a comment on here or email me, firstname.lastname@example.org
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