Visandi (hncp h + micro distance) UP 8/1
NOTE: Jonjo 2/63,13 places last 14 days but a few more have been running better, esp those that may have had the run I think. The odd green shoot which suggests his time may be coming again. This horse is unexposed and making handicap debut, and he has enough such winners to be interested. I have backed him EW, in part because the fav was mightily impressive the last day and he does look the one to beat in similar conditions here- and he escapes the penalty. But that is just my own reading of it. The horse steps up in trip which I like to see also, and Coleman is on which is a positive.
Its All About Time (NHF) NR
NOTE: Hammond 1/19,3 places last 14 days, given he was 0/32 in the 14 days or so before that, again maybe some green shoots starting to emerge. This is the horse’s second start and he didn’t do much the first time- but was fancied enough at 11/2 maybe not to lose all hope. The market clearly favours the top two, inc the one below, but he is 20s+ and given his profile – ‘could be anything including not very good’ I will trust the stats and have an EW stab again i think.
Keep In Time (NHF) UP 7/2 (drifted)
NOTE: Skelton 6/40,13 places last 14 days, going ok. Horse makes first start and the yard have an ok record with those yet to have been on a racetrack, 15/95,36 places last 2 years. Market may guide- and it is saying he could go very well.
Well not much to say here at all. They all have a ‘trust the stats unexposed profile’. The Hammond horse could still be running come 4.00 but the odds allow a dabble I think. The other two look interesting enough.
The following are for Hereford. These ARE NOT counted in official results as they look at stats from 2010/11/12 before the track was closed- but it will be interesting to see if the same trainers target the course…
Shows Over (hncp c) UP
Super Sam (all hncp) WON 6/1>3/1
Cruise In Style (hncp h) UP (seemed to be travelling well behind runners before maybe not picking up in ground as they turned in)