I’ve had a quick flick through to see what stands out from the notes, mainly starting with the ‘winning profiles’. As always if you wish to use the notes I would advise having a good flick through yourself also…
Lexington Abbey- for Ryan has a few positives and negatives. Looks like going off 12/1 or shorter which is a plus, and ran at York LTO. Is aged 5 though, currently 0/12,1p with those older than 4.
Move In Time- his age counts him out of the ‘winning profile’ (0/16,3p horses 7 or older at meeting) but ran in a C1 LTO which is a positive on the stats. Market support would be interesting given trainer’s record with more fancied runners here.
Lockheed – ticks the ‘winning profile’ for Haggas.
Both of Ryan’s runners do not tick the ‘winning profile’, albeit that may not stop them! – any market support would be interesting, 12/1 or shorter. There are a few other ‘negatives’ for the pair and the odd positive.
Mutakayyef ticks the ‘winning profile’ for Haggas and may be an interesting EW bet. Haggas currently 0/3,0 places in G1s at meeting, but that is no reason not to have a closer look at his chance.
The Grey Gatsby falls down on age and distance stats- not Ryan’s typical type of winner here, on the stats front.
Saved By The Bell- another O’Meara runner who has a few negative historical meeting stats to overcome.
Naafer- another that ticks the ‘winning profile’ for Haggas. Also has 2-5 career runs which is another tick.
Nautical Haven – ticks the ‘winning profile’ boxes for Ryan. Won LTO and ran at York LTO which are both historical positives. He was fourth or worse on his first career start which is a negative- but those ‘first career start’ stats are arguably less significant than others. It will be interesting how this one gets on. Certainly more positives than negatives.
Fingers crossed that Haggas has a good day. At least he comes here in some form- 8/36,22 places in the last 14 days. Any ‘Newmarket virus’ doesn’t appear to have reached his yard as yet.
Kevin Ryan’s could be going better- 4/38,15 places last 14 days, but they could be worse.
O’Meara doesn’t appear to have been consistent at any time this season as yet and is 6/56, 21 places heading into this meeting.
So, a few pointers there for day 1. These stats are only ever a starting point/guide and I would use them along with further analysis. Hopefully history can repeat itself over the next few days.