Trends/Stats for Ripon Great St Wilfred Stakes have been posted.
STATS/ANGLES OF INTEREST
(running total: +10.5 points)
Well a deflating day on Thursday, both horses very well backed and no return. Holy Cross went off at 3s and looked to be coming into it well before finding very little/plodding on. A very odd/tame finishing effort. Always more gutting when well backed ones don’t perform.
None on Friday.
TTP: MAIN SYSTEM BETS
Newbury (6/1 or under, guide- Hannon fired in a few biggies this season)
2.50 – Steal The Scene
3.20 – Silver Quay
5.35 – Kismet Hardy
6.00 Newm – Davids Duchess (16/1<)
SPRINT HANDICAP TESTING ZONE
Groundworker – 1 point EW– 8/1 (bet365/SB/BV) 7/1 (general) UP
Well I was going to tip 1 point win this one and 1 point win Thornaby Princess who looked a bit over-priced at 14s given her recent consistent form. Anyway, instead I will just back this one each way as there isn’t another at a price I want to be on really.
Groundworker- well it is the class drop and the first time cheeckpieces which catch the eye, allied to the fact that he keeps running well enough and there is plenty of pace on here for him to track. He certainly has the ability to take this for me and is well enough handicapped on bits and pieces of form. I do think the headgear will need to work but he is at least doing something different and he is well drawn for the CD. There isn’t much more to it than that really. I just thought in that context that 8s looked worth a go. There is plenty of pace for him to track and he looks like the type who needs everything to drop right- which it may just do here.
Bold Spirit/Harpers Ruby/Innocently like to get on with it. Compton River led for for most of the way LTO, Perfect Words likes get on with it and a handful of others, including the selection can race up there. Hopefully Lee gets a good early position just off the pace and can pick up the pieces if/when they start to fade late. He has looked an awkward ride at times, as if he doesn’t put it all in when asked (travels well usually) and with any luck the cheekpieces will focus his mind and make the difference. The trainer goes ok here and is 4/17 in the last year. They have been running Ok in the last few weeks.
You can give plenty a chance in here and there are a few taking a class drop. Innocently is short enough for one who has struggled to get his head in front. Everything went right the last day and he won’t be able to dictate here I don’t think- the jockey is 0/8,1p on him also- maybe he needs some knowing. But he drops in class and clearly a repeat of that last run puts him right there. 4s looks short enough though. Salvatore Fury looks short enough also but has the ability to take this and the race may be run to suit, provided he doesn’t get taken off his feet too much early on. Compton River owes us nothing and may progress again but the handicapper will get him sooner or later and in a race that has a few in it who have been running at C5, and running well enough, this 6lb rise may stop him this time. It may not but he has done his job for us, for now.
So, we have one who I think looks a tad big at 8s who has looked threatening a few times for this trainer, this season, without ever following through. Without the headgear I think I would leave but the hope is that this sparks him up, makes him concentrate and put it all in when asked at the business end. There is only one way to find out if he does…
That is all for this bit today.
TRAINERS IN FORM
A decent 6/1 winner and 8/1 second from the three horses yesterday. Let’s see if any of these three can follow up as we head to Newcastle…
2.00- Saxagogo (14,30) 5/2 WON 3/1 | George Ravenscar (30) 7/1 UP
4.40- Johnny B Goode (14) 5/1
That is all for today. Good luck.