STATS/ANGLES OF INTEREST
(running total: +19.5 points)
Adiator – 12/1 (general) – UP
*well it looked interesting for a time but the way the race panned out suggested those near the front have done far too much and gone far too early, all fading tamely. Fingers crossed the final one can make it a decent day.
This one is based around the jockey booking – one SDS takes the ride here and he has only ridden for this trainer twic in the last 730 days, without a place. But, when teaming up at this track in the last 5 years they have stats of 3/4, 3 places. In handicaps here they are a perfect 3/3. The horse- well he doesn’t win very often but is well drawn here and has at least run some OK races, including two starts ago. I don’t know what happened LTO but that is the nature of this level maybe, unpredictable horses. On the geegeez ‘place tab’ he shows up well and has some form in all race conditions. Last May this horse came a neck second here off OR64, running of 58 here today – and SDS is worth a few pounds no doubt. We won’t be lacking from the saddle and it is the first time he has ridden the horse. Based on that run two starts ago it looks like 7f+ is what is required these days. This one is a bit of a poke but at 12s I thought he looked of some interest, in what is a poor race.
Judicious – 10/1 (BetBright) 9/1 (WH) 17/2 (PP) 8/1 (Lad/BV/888) * UP (close 4th)
I am not minded to find too many excuses there albeit from a draw of 6, fairly near to the rail, he ended up all over the place (well jockey didn’t seem to know what he wanted to do with him) and never really settled all the way round. Maybe the headgear lit him up too much but he did give away the odd bit of ground. Either way, come the last 50 yards he emptied out, having just hit the front at one stage. It was exciting for a time, at least!
*Those prices haven’t lasted long, clearly last evening was the best time to get him. 8s with Boyle and 888 if you can get on, 7s general. The latter pice will be declared price when he does romp to victory.
This horse is in my tracker, having added him a few weeks ago when noticing his record on good to firm. I think Mozzer has highlighted his profile also – and this one was around 12s last night I think but I was too busy having dinner and then watching the golf highlights! In handicaps… on good to firm he is 4/8, 5 places and 2/4 over Course and Distance. He is 0/16, 2 places on all other going. He is 9 but has been lightly raced in recent years having had two massive breaks of 300+ days. Clearly he has had his problems, and it may be that all ability has gone. But, they persevere with him and he has ran OK in far from ideal conditions recently. This is now his 3rd start after his latest break and it could be that he is ready to strike. He was previously a decent enough handicapper and this is his first go in class 6. His last win was in 2013 off 65. He runs off 54 today. He could be well handicapped, or given his problems that is a fair reflection of his ability. The final positive is the trainer form – he has a green 14 on geegeez, 1/5, 2 places in the last 2 weeks. He also gets cheekpieces for the first time which may help- something different at least. The ground is the main plus here and 10/1 – 8/1 still seems fair enough, in a race like this.
That is all for today in this section.
Pam Sly Females (any odds)
8.20 Wind: All My Love
TTP: MAIN TRAINER SYSTEMS
2.30 – Tiger Jim
3.40 – Lady Cordie
4.10 – Fray
5.10 – Nicholas T
5.40 – Haidees Reflection
8.10 Bev – Yorkindred Spirit (any odds)
SPRINT HANDICAP TESTING ZONE
I had a brief look at the 7.50 Windsor, but it looks to be between the top few in the market and nothing at 8/1+ is catching the eye. Foxtrot Knight goes again here- an eye-catcher here two starts ago, and ran well LTO having the worst of ‘the trip’ – he went very wide and gave away a few lengths. He is inform, well drawn here, and has 4/5 front runners to take him into it. I can’t think he will be too far away. 7s may underestimate Oh So Sassy also- back on decent ground, a drop in class from last run. And then there is the unexposed one at the top of the market. It looks a decent little contest and I will watch with interest.
The 6.35 Beverley looks interesting also but again I was struggling to find a way in at a price. There are plenty of in-form horses in this one and it looks fairly open. Maureb was the one I had a close look at, 12/1. He drops from 7f to 5f here – and in the end I thought that may be too sharp a drop and recent runs would suggest he will be out-paced here. There is a lot of pace on paper though, and if he can keep tabs it could collapse for a hold up horse. The trainer is 0/16,2 places when employing this jockey in 730 days, 0/8, 0 places in handicaps. In the end I have left him, but again, will watch the race for educational purposes.