A King Flat (16/1<): 6.45 Wind – Hardington DNQ (was 22s+ this morning until around 10am,backed down to 12s throughout day before drifting pre race to 20s Some may have backed him. We will back drifters etc – ‘non qualifiers’ that do win over time and generally all evens out)
TTP MAIN TRAINER SYSTEMS
Carlisle (all 15/2<)
8.05 – Overhaugh Street DNQ
8.35 – Shes Electric – UP
9.05 – Lady Wootton – 2nd (neck) 15/2>11/2
STATS/ANGLES OF INTEREST
5.00 Leic – Ganymede 10/1 (general) UP- 8 runs ago this horse was on OR83 and today comes here of OR68. He has won off 6lb and 7lb higher and is undoubtedly handicapped to strike again at some point -2/6 OR61-70. All race conditions look fine and it appears he has never handled cut in the ground, which could excuse recent runs. He has had two starts this season now so fitness should not be an issue. He races at C5 here but has won at C4. He also wears a visor for the first time. All of his wins have come in headgear and he won in 1st time blinkers when they were applied. The trainer could be in slightly better form – 0/31 last month, but she has had 12 runners in the last 14 days, 3 have placed – they will fire again at some point and maybe this one will kick things off.
8.45 Wind – Biotic – 16/1 – UP-Trainer and Jockey are 3/11,6 places when teaming up here and it could be a developing relationship to follow. This one is unexposed enough, this being only his 14th flat turf start. He does have to prove himself from this mark but you could make excuses for all of his runs rated OR81+ and the run last time out suggested he may not be finished yet – that was eye-catching in the sense of how he ran on – and the winner that day has since gone in again – he was beaten 1.5 lengths or so. The step up in trip looks interesting given he has won over 1m3f and appears to get outpaced over shorter. There is a bit of pace to aim at here and he is a course winner. It may be that on turf he is a horse without a trip that needs plenty to fall right – come 8.50 we may be saying it didn’t look like he stayed and needs 10f again! He is also 2/6,4 in handicaps with 12+ runners – it could be that he likes to come through horses and needs to aim at a pace, no issues on that front here. At 16s, happy to have a nibble.
That is all for today. Post complete.