As I write the two ‘stats/angles of interest’ horses have ran mighty fine races, one winning at 16s>9s and the other coming a neck second 22s>8s. I backed both in singles and had a 1/2 point EW double on – close to my biggest ever single win but not to be – it was exciting to watch mind. AS I said on Tuesday I have modified my approach to that section and with 8/1 and 16/1 winners from 4 bets. so far so good. It is still a ‘test’ section but hopefully it is a sign of things to come.
The ingredients? Well I think before I was trying to throw a bit too much ‘statty mud’ at the wall and hoping some of it stuck. Given the tools I have at my disposal I should put a bit more effort in so in general will be looking for horses running in uncompetitive races where their chance stands out, favourable handicap mark, trainer form, horse profile and trying to get a couple of stats to back them up – being trainer track form, trainer/jockey combo/TTP etc etc. So, more selective but a bit more in-depth – albeit I won’t be analysing every other runner in the same depth I would do if ‘tipping’. But, with this approach it may not matter! The aim will be to try and find horses at double figure odds that I think are over-priced.
TO NOTE: I am off on my travels in the early hours of Thursday morning, with any luck still on a high from the Reds battering Sevilla- albeit that could be a bit too optimistic! It is a close friend’s stag and we are heading off to Prague. The last time I went it never stopped raining so hopefully the sun shines! There will still be a daily blog post including any micro system bets- but outside of that I doubt there will be much until next week. On my return I will be starting to pull together stats packs for Epsom and for Royal Ascot.
There is a new blog post, a results update + a micro angle. Just click ‘blog’ above, top left hand corner- second post down.
A King Flat (16/1<)
3.30 Good: Jim Dandy
7.30 Sand: Primitivo
Meehan Maiden (any odds)
8.00 Sand: Ma Peek
TTP MAIN TRAINER SYSTEMS
2.20 Good: Enlace (any odds)
STATS/ANGLES OF INTEREST
None. Had a quick flick through and nothing jumped out in terms of ‘uncompetitive’ races/horses standing out using the geegeez instant expert tab – and I have ran out of time to go through all the possible stats (takes about an hour, well, it did this morning, to get a long list before homing in, sing TTP/Geegeez Gold Reports/HRB) I am off to pack and then to the pub!
Enjoy your evening/Thursday.