I have two things for you before I get onto the horses. Firstly something free, and then something not so free 🙂
First up I noticed that Perth and Worcester have their first ‘Summer Meetings’ of the new season on Wednesday. As such I have updated the TTP Report with these two tracks. Below you can get a link to this developing guide, which already includes Newton Abbot…Enjoy…
YORK DANTE TRAINER NOTES
Secondly, earlier this afternoon I sent 6 pages packed full of trainer notes and micro angles for York’s Dante meeting to Donations Club Members. They received this for free, as part of being a member of that exclusive club.
These stats include angles which have the following results:-
- John Gosden: 15 best / 7 wins / 10 places / +13 SP
- Richard Fahey: 8 bets / 4 wins / 6 places / +13 SP
- Sir Michael Stoute: 11 bets / 8 wins / 8 places / +15 SP
- David O’Meara: 7 bets / 4 wins / 4 places / +22 SP
- Mick Easterby: 9 bets / 5 wins / 5 places / +50 SP
- Mick Channon: 6 bets / 4 wins / 4 places / +12 SP
- Plus plenty more snippets and ‘ways in’ of interest
Now, it is my hope that some of those above, and some of the other stats, will repeat themselves over the next three days. These trainers look to target this meeting with certain types of runners and I will be using these notes to try and come out in front. Given my tipping form I enjoy taking refuge in a trainer stat or two!! 🙂
I was just going to keep this exclusive for Donations Club Members but I have decided to sell the notes also, if you want them but don’t wish to be in the Donations Club just yet.
So, there are now two ways you can get these notes….
- Join the Donations Club at the links at the bottom of the post. You will get these notes plus plenty more like it in the weeks/months ahead.
- BUY these notes directly via ClickBank for £10 + (VAT)…now that takes it to £12 – which coincidentally is the minimum Donations Club level 🙂 (it is ClickBank which as you know means a 60 day money back guarantee)
Now, this is a test for me in a way as I have no idea if there is an appetite to buy notes like these, one off. I am sure you will vote with your wallets 🙂 If they are as successful as Aintree/Punchestown/Chester, £12 may well look reasonable. Or you can get them for free, as part of the Donations Club….
Once you complete payment at the link above ClickBank will send you a receipt email, with a link to the download in.
If you are going to York I would definitely get a copy…print them off and get backing some winners!
Hoof It – 1 point EW – 12/1 UP 6th
Hawkeyethenoo – 1 point EW – 25/1 UP 7th
Both ran fine races and were not too far away. Undecided whether a pace bias or actual track bias there and it was annoying that Yeeoow was withdrawn as he was one of the high drawn pace-setter and may have towed Hoof it into it a bit more. Along with the Ryan horse who never figured/got anywhere near the front. But, that is sprints for you. Tim Easterby was 0/70,11 places at this meeting previous 5 Dante festivals,and jockey was 0/29,3 p when riding his in handicaps in last 730 days. Stats eh!! I wouldnt have ever taken 7s/8s about winner in race like this,esp in that context. Low does look the place to be it would appear.
I will try and keep this a bit shorter. When going through this race these two just stood out at the prices and the old boys may just show the young guns how it is done here…
Hoof It – runs for wily old Mick and this one may possibly qualify on the micro angle,the stats of which are above. All of his career wins have been when 12/1 or shorter so that would be significant. We know he has the ability and his run LTO, on softer than ideal ground, shows he still retains it – he gets his preferred quick ground here, has course form, has pace to aim at, is very well handicapped and just looks sure, on paper at least, to run a decent race. I suspect this has been the early season target and he should be spot on here. He is 2/6 over CD and 4/6 in handicaps in May. 12s was fair and I can’t see why he won’t run his race, all being well.
Hawkeyethenoo – I just couldn’t let him go off at this price given he looks to have plenty in his favour here. He is very well handicapped now on old form and also likes the month of May, 2/6, 4 places. He also has course form, 1/4,1 place over CD. He gets his preferred good ground here – the faster the better and although there are some lingering showers it would take a lot to send this to the soft side I think. Atzeni also caught the eye and he is 1/2 on the horse – we wont be found wanting from the saddle. Also, his record fresh is decent – 1/4, 2 places 121+ days and hasnt returned in these conditions for some time. If Goldie wants him spot on he can clearly do that, and the horse can do it also. Finally, he ran some decent races last year, including in the Ayr Silver Cup where he was beaten 5 lengths and had some trouble in running. Sprinters can hold their form and well he is 25s, I was happy to pay that to find out here.
PACE/race set up – these two will need plenty of luck as they will be mid-div, latter 3rd I suspect. But, there looks to be plenty of pace in here and most of it is drawn middle to high – so, they should be in the right spot. Who knows if the jockeys will split or come up the middle but I can’t envisage an excuse on that front, not from what I can see on paper anyway.
Of the rest. Well as always in these races you can make some sort of case for plenty but there are reasons why I am against most of the others and as always will say why I didn’t like them if they win! George Drydon is interesting but is short enough and has this mark to now overcome, lightly enough raced though. Flaming Spear is short enough also for a trainer with a poor record with his handicappers at this meeting in recent years – the drop in trip may suit and he will blast off in front. Opposable on odds though. The rest have enough questions for me, whether class, fitness, trip, going,trainer/jockey form etc.
With any luck my pins have landed on the right two!
3.00 Worc – Dealing River (12/1<) DNQ, hovered,and I backed him in morning.
TRAINER TRACK PROFILES: MAIN TRAINER SYSTEMS
York (all 9/1<)
2.10 – Awake My Soul DNQ/ Hit The Jackpot DNQ
2.40 – Highland Acclaim DNQ
STATS/ANGLES OF INTEREST
I will just stick to a couple of jumpers today, found using the free guide above. Remember these are pointers, using stats as a way in. The stats are the stats and I have not looked at the horses/oppo in much depth at all. They are not tips.
2.30 Worc – The Backup Plan – 9/2 – McCain has a decent record here with his handicap chasers and with all handicappers over this trip. He is also in superb form and this one shouldn’t mind what the ground does I don’t think. Looks sure to run his race and will be up there from the off.
7.50- Perth – Solway Legend – Harrison’s stats here for all handicappers at this time of year are decent enough as is her record in handicap chases – 6/19,11 places. This doesn’t look the strongest of races really, although haven’t looked at the horse or oppo in much depth, I will leave that to you, if you so wish.
8.50- Perth – Harrison and Nicky Richards this time. The former runs Johnny Go but on paper at least, based on recent runs, he has a bit more to find. The Richards horse, Parc De Princes may be more interesting. Needs decent ground and comes here fresh, albeit he is 10 now.
That is all for today.
TRAINER TRACK PROFILES: FLAT 2016
I will just leave a subtle link at the bottom of the daily posts…you can get your copy, +60 day no questions asked money back guarantee below…
I will update readers periodically on how the main system bets get on – they have had a decent enough start. However you use the guide, you are sure to have plenty of fun with it. Those that have bought a copy have already used it to find plenty of decent winners.
And, you can also get a 50% discount if you join the Donations Club below…
Donations…Join The Club…
If you enjoy the blog and may even profit from my advice, why not donate today? You can join the monthly ‘Donations Club’ below – members of which will receive added benefits in the weeks and months ahead – reports for free (that I would otherwise charge for), discounted reports,exclusive reports, plus much more is in the pipeline.
So far members have received my Cheltenham Stats pack for free (worth £17) and an exclusive reports for Aintree and Punchestown and York. There will be plenty of stuff for the Flat will be sent out in the coming weeks/months. Members will also get a near 50% discount on my new Flat Guide: Trainer Track Profiles: Flat 2016, which is out now.
Or, you can chip in as and when suits you, with ad hoc donations also.
I appreciate any donations that are sent my way. They will allow the blog to remain free at the point of use, ensuring no barriers to access – and they allow me to focus on making it, and your experience,the best that it can be.
So, go on, what are you waiting for 🙂 …
You Can Join My Monthly DONATIONS CLUB below (via Paypal)
(at the moment there is no difference in ‘service’ for want of a better word between those two amounts above… you all get added to the same email lost. At the moment it is about the value you place on the blog etc – eg many of you may back the tips to different amounts..those on £5 per point may think £12 suits them,those betting £20 per point may think £17 is reasonable, for example)
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