Members Report: 11/05/17 (COMPLETE)

I have two things for you before I get onto the horses. Firstly something free, and then something not so free 🙂 

First up I noticed that Perth and Worcester have their first ‘Summer Meetings’ of the new season on Wednesday. As such I have updated the TTP Report with these two tracks. Below you can get a link to this developing guide, which already includes Newton Abbot…Enjoy…




Secondly, earlier this afternoon I sent 6 pages packed full of trainer notes and micro angles for York’s Dante meeting to Donations Club Members. They received this for free, as part of being a member of that exclusive club. 

These stats include angles which have the following results:-

  • John Gosden: 15 best / 7 wins / 10 places / +13 SP 
  • Richard Fahey: 8 bets / 4 wins / 6 places / +13 SP 
  • Sir Michael Stoute: 11 bets / 8 wins / 8 places / +15 SP 
  • David O’Meara: 7 bets / 4 wins / 4 places / +22 SP 
  • Mick Easterby: 9 bets / 5 wins / 5 places / +50 SP 
  • Mick Channon: 6 bets / 4 wins / 4 places / +12 SP 
  • Plus plenty more snippets and ‘ways in’ of interest

Now, it is my hope that some of those above, and some of the other stats, will repeat themselves over the next three days. These trainers look to target this meeting with certain types of runners and I will be using these notes to try and come out in front. Given my tipping form I enjoy taking refuge in a trainer stat or two!! 🙂 

I was just going to keep this exclusive for Donations Club Members but I have decided to sell the notes also, if you want them but don’t wish to be in the Donations Club just yet.

So, there are now two ways you can get these notes….

  1. Join the Donations Club at the links at the bottom of the post. You will get these notes plus plenty more like it in the weeks/months ahead. 
  2. BUY these notes directly via ClickBank for £10 + (VAT)…now that takes it to £12 – which coincidentally is the minimum Donations Club level 🙂 (it is ClickBank which as you know means a 60 day money back guarantee) 

Now, this is a test for me in a way as I have no idea if there is an appetite to buy notes like these, one off. I am sure you will vote with your wallets 🙂 If they are as successful as Aintree/Punchestown/Chester, £12 may well look reasonable. Or you can get them for free, as part of the Donations Club….


Once you complete payment at the link above ClickBank will send you a receipt email, with a link to the download in.

If you are going to York I would definitely get a copy…print them off and get backing some winners! 




2.40 York

Hoof It – 1 point EW – 12/1 UP 6th

Hawkeyethenoo – 1 point EW – 25/1 UP 7th

Both ran fine races and were not too far away. Undecided whether a pace bias or actual track bias there and it was annoying that Yeeoow was withdrawn as he was one of the high drawn pace-setter and may have towed Hoof it into it a bit more. Along with the Ryan horse who never figured/got anywhere near the front. But, that is sprints for you. Tim Easterby was 0/70,11 places at this meeting previous 5 Dante festivals,and jockey was 0/29,3 p when riding his in handicaps in last 730 days. Stats eh!! I wouldnt have ever taken 7s/8s about  winner in race like this,esp in that context. Low does look the place to be it would appear. 

I will try and keep this a bit shorter. When going through this race these two just stood out at the prices and the old boys may just show the young guns how it is done here…

Hoof It – runs for wily old Mick and this one may possibly qualify on the micro angle,the stats of which are above. All of his career wins have been when 12/1 or shorter so that would be significant. We know he has the ability and his run LTO, on softer than ideal ground, shows he still retains it – he gets his preferred quick ground here, has course form, has pace to aim at, is very well handicapped and just looks sure, on paper at least, to run a decent race. I suspect this has been the early season target and he should be spot on here. He is 2/6 over CD and 4/6 in handicaps in May. 12s was fair and I can’t see why he won’t run his race, all being well. 

Hawkeyethenoo – I just couldn’t let him go off at this price given he looks to have plenty in his favour here. He is very well handicapped now on old form and also likes the month of May, 2/6, 4 places. He also has course form, 1/4,1 place over CD. He gets his preferred good ground here – the faster the better and although there are some lingering showers it would take a lot to send this to the soft side I think. Atzeni also caught the eye and he is 1/2 on the horse – we wont be found wanting from the saddle. Also, his record fresh is decent – 1/4, 2 places 121+ days and hasnt returned in these conditions for some time. If Goldie wants him spot on he can clearly do that, and the horse can do it also. Finally, he ran some decent races last year, including in the Ayr Silver Cup where he was beaten 5 lengths and had some trouble in running. Sprinters can hold their form and well he is 25s, I was happy to pay that to find out here.

PACE/race set up – these two will need plenty of luck as they will be mid-div, latter 3rd I suspect. But, there looks to be plenty of pace in here and most of it is drawn middle to high – so, they should be in the right spot. Who knows if the jockeys will split or come up the middle but I can’t envisage an excuse on that front, not from what I can see on paper anyway.

Of the rest. Well as always in these races you can make some sort of case for plenty but there are reasons why I am against most of the others and as always will say why I didn’t like them if they win! George Drydon is interesting but is short enough and has this mark to now overcome, lightly enough raced though. Flaming Spear is short enough also for a trainer with a poor record with his handicappers at this meeting in recent years – the drop in trip may suit and he will blast off in front. Opposable on odds though.  The rest have enough questions for me, whether class, fitness, trip, going,trainer/jockey form etc. 

With any luck my pins have landed on the right two! 

Good Luck



Jumps Handicappers

3.00 Worc – Dealing River (12/1<) DNQ, hovered,and I backed him in morning. 



 York (all 9/1<)

2.10 – Awake My Soul DNQ/ Hit The Jackpot DNQ

2.40 – Highland Acclaim  DNQ



I will just stick to a couple of jumpers today, found using the free guide above. Remember these are pointers, using stats as a way in. The stats are the stats and I have not looked at the horses/oppo in much depth at all. They are not tips. 

2.30 Worc – The Backup Plan – 9/2 – McCain has a decent record here with his handicap chasers and with all handicappers over this trip. He is also in superb form and this one shouldn’t mind what the ground does I don’t think. Looks sure to run his race and will be up there from the off. 

7.50- Perth – Solway Legend – Harrison’s stats here for all handicappers at this time of year are decent enough as is her record in handicap chases – 6/19,11 places. This doesn’t look the strongest of races really, although haven’t looked at the horse or oppo in much depth, I will leave that to you, if you so wish. 

8.50- Perth – Harrison and Nicky Richards this time. The former runs Johnny Go but on paper at least, based on recent runs, he has a bit more to find. The Richards horse, Parc De Princes may be more interesting. Needs decent ground and comes here fresh, albeit he is 10 now. 


That is all for today.



I will just leave a subtle link at the bottom of the daily posts…you can get your copy, +60 day no questions asked money back guarantee below…


I will update readers periodically on how the main system bets get on – they have had a decent enough start. However you use the guide, you are sure to have plenty of fun with it. Those that have bought a copy have already used it to find plenty of decent winners. 

And, you can also get a 50% discount if you join the Donations Club below…



Donations…Join The Club…

If you enjoy the blog and may even profit from my advice, why not donate today? You can join the monthly ‘Donations Club’ below – members of which will receive added benefits in the weeks and months ahead – reports for free (that I would otherwise charge for), discounted reports,exclusive reports, plus much more is in the pipeline.

So far members have received my Cheltenham Stats pack for free (worth £17) and an exclusive reports for Aintree and Punchestown and York. There will be plenty of stuff for the Flat will be sent out in the coming weeks/months. Members will also get a near 50% discount on my new Flat Guide: Trainer Track Profiles: Flat 2016,  which is out now.  

Or, you can chip in as and when suits you, with ad hoc donations also. 

I appreciate any donations that are sent my way. They will allow the blog to remain free at the point of use, ensuring no barriers to access – and they allow me to focus on making it, and your experience,the best that it can be. 

So, go on, what are you waiting for 🙂 …

You Can Join My Monthly DONATIONS CLUB below (via Paypal)



(at the moment there is no difference in ‘service’ for want of a better word between those two amounts above… you all get added to the same email lost. At the moment it is about the value you place on the blog etc – eg many of you may back the tips to different amounts..those on £5 per point may think £12 suits them,those betting £20 per point may think £17 is reasonable, for example)







Post Comments

Do join in the conversation below, we're a friendly bunch.. all questions welcome, and do share your selections or thoughts

63 Responses

  1. Have been waiting for this horse to have the right conditions…..Dovils Duel should have conditions to suit Bath 6.00 , 7/1 8/1 looks very fair

    1. Bath Going reported on Racing Post website to be “Firm”; who are they kidding, BBC weather forecast says rain most of the morning and several cricket fixtures in South Wales/ South West rained off yesterday…DD can handle soft as can Kristal Hart but one that catches the eye on mark today in wet is Nouvelle Ere.

  2. 14/1 for Dealing River worth a stab,Harry on Board,only worry is the absence,still thats why its 14/1,taking chance on readiness,dont know what her record is with getting them ready first time up

    1. bailey’s record after long layoffs is quite good. I checked earlier this evening: 365+ days since LR within the parameters of this system are: 1 WIN, 4 placed from about 8 as far as i remember

  3. Poor runs from the tipperary bonus stats but still sitting on 11 pts profit for season (well since i started checking them).One for the dream team tomorrow and a handicapper,If Josh lets me infringe copyright again will post up here

    1. Infringe away! 🙂 they cant all win,esp maiden runners,but over time should be fine.

      1. Agreed, Willie McCreery continues in fine form. Both maiden runners performed respectably (albeit not for the bank balance), Sweet Taboo was just touched off in the sprint handicap and h’cap debutante, Escalate was a very promising 6l 5th in the last. One for the notebook of this mark, methinks. 😉

        1. McCreery/Lee Stats atrocious 7.10 Naas though Aridity bf boasts top speed fig 7/1, one with much better stats & price Elusive Cowboy

  4. On a different note which might be regarded as plagiarism,but hardly as was been given for free on another site regarding Dalgleish/Makin

    age 3-5 yr old
    distance 6-10f
    class 4-6
    The reason being they had a winner lively fella at 12/1 at beverley that were in this category.They claim 35 pts profit per season.Maybe someone with HRB could check the bona fides

  5. Josh
    Found the following from the TTP from Micro
    M Johnston 2.10 3yo 6.30 Jintshi, 8.00 Fondie
    T Newcombe 3yo+ 6.00 Kay Sera, Dovils Dual
    M Prescott 90 days, 6.30 Palisade
    B Ellison 4yo+ & 12-12.5f, 5.20 Dominada, 4yo+ Carthage
    M Appleby 4yo+ 3.15 Danzeno, 5.20 Two Jabs
    All with good prices.

    1. Cheers Mike, you have saved me some time there! I don’t mind comments like this every now and then – also advertises the guide 🙂 – not every day mind! 🙂 Thanks, will have a good look.

  6. Tried downloading the York guide but it just comes up with download unsuccessful 🙁 is it in a different format to the other guides as I have no problems downloading the other ones from the blog? I can only download on my mobile maybe it’s a problem with click banks download link?

  7. M Johnson bath females between 1-1.2 m 63% strike rate only worry is the size of the field qualifier fondie

  8. Re Makin/Dalgleish
    Using Gerry’s criteria HRB digger throws up 2013-2016:
    Hannagan/Varian SR 42.86% ROI SP 100%
    Hannagan/Haggas SR 42.86% ROI SP 28.7%
    Tylicki/Varian SR 34.62% ROI SP 54.81%
    Doyle/BinSuroor SR 30.43% ROI SP 30.78%
    Hannagan/Fahey SR 30% ROI SP 51.42%
    Makin/Quinn SR 29.17% ROI SP 49.53%
    More digging to be done but potentially very powerful.

  9. I have had a small punt on Gamesome in the 2.40 trainer form is an obvious concern but looking back at Midgley he does have a habit of snapping poor runs at bigger meetings and then having a purple patch, like the form and mark of this horse so on at 25/1 for a bit of fun!

    1. yep can see why you would have a nibble at that price. Trainer form did put me off somewhat, as did his last run, appeared well fancied enough but blew up to nothing 2f out – maybe he needed the run. You wouldn’t fall off your seat if he were to go close though and trainer will bounce back at some point as you say – and you are getting 25s!Draw a slight niggle IF the jockey goes low side, just because I think there will be more sustained pace drawn high, but I may have that wrong. The tim easterby horse should take low numbers along.

      1. fingers crossed…I usually only go high at York in soft and low on firm, my over -riding impression is that often in sprints they tend to hit the furlong pole in an arrow like formation more often than not…

  10. Today’s One Trick Interests @ York

    Ralph Beckett
    Spanish Squeeze (IRE)
    Hugo Palmer
    Twilight Son (poor draw?)
    Henry Candy
    Charlie Appleby
    Replenish (FR)
    James Fanshawe
    Roger Varian (not a 3yo ? ?)
    Busy Street
    Alan Swinbank 2-2-6 race history / interesting!

    1. 315 Albernathy – Backed £4 @ 30/s on betfair seen rest were 20/s – had a bath & he’s 6.5, fell off my chair, I can cash out for £13, so I layed at 6.8 for 10.50 – £6 whoever wins & £50 if he does, best trade to date in % terms….

  11. Hi Josh,Re Paul Midgley i think you put stats up last year regarding him—————JUNE seems to be his time of year.

    1. yep, I like to do the monthly research from scratch every time – in part probably for space in my HRB accounts haha – and I am sure he will be jumping out at me near the end of the month – hopefully they start to fire in next couple of weeks, just in time for june!

  12. Terrific martin….Top Man….that’s my pension topped up…Cheers lad..i owe you another large.

    1. Sorry I got the race time wrong, i am away working and the message I got had the wrong time and I didn’t have time to check it as I was keen to get it on the blog quickly.

      1. Looked in at 2:51 so just missed it but really appreciate you sharing such great info again Martin

  13. That was slightly unfortunate there Josh. 6th and 7th from slightly the wrong side of the track.

    1. yep, that is how it goes, glad they ran well. Shame Yeeoow wasnt there, and Ryan horse never went to front – which is what expected – and didn’t anticipate Red Pike being sent forward – does look like a track bias though now. That is how it goes in those,the pin will land on right one at some point – Hoof It ran like an in form horse who has some more wins in him. The second was on the short list, wouldn’t have got into position to have backed the others around him.

      1. Do you recon the bias is likely to remain all meeting or is it a case of playing it by ear?

        1. So hard to predict – as now it will be in minds of jockeys also – fact there was not front runners high in either sprints near side to make a real judgement. It will only dry out further and that may make it better or worse! Had a quick glance at 5f handicap first up tomorrow and I think most of pace on paper looks 10 or lower there. Plenty to ponder! It isnt at point where if every front runner was high you would ignore them and go low I don’t think.

  14. Josh,

    You touched on Dovils Duel last night in the 6.00 at Bath (which is now full of non runners). The Bath race that it ran in on 26/4 has had four horses run subsequently. There were fifteen runners in that race, the and tenth and fifteenth have won since, and the eighth and fourteenth have placed. A race to keep a close eye on for the next few weeks.

  15. Vintage Charm scoots home at 10/1 at naas,there was 14/1 in places but then a few non runners so i will chalk it down at sp The lyons horse ran very well but just done by hot fav,That brings season profits to 20pts profit

    1. Cheers Gerry. More people should buy the guide eh?? 🙂 is that 20 points on Irish bonus stats or your total use of guide? Either way,banks building nicely. Top work.

    2. Cheers Gerry / Josh. Put in a higher price on Betfair that wasn’t matched, but took bsp (15.64)…nice one, guys.

  16. Just on Irish Josh,i couldn’t tell you what the total is,im well up on the whole guide,im pen and paper man usually,i can keep track of one meeting per day,lol,With the uk flat everyone will pick and choose what suits their way of betting.Well its worth a lot more than you charge,The irish stats are ideal if you just like a few bets a week,Be interesting how they perform v uk flat at seasons end

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