Below is a ‘shorter’ (only 16 minutes this time!!) video of me using my HorseRaceBase account to add in one of the trainer micro systems from the guide. One of you emailed asking me to record a demo, as a new HRB user. So, I hope this helps. (comes with the obligatory ‘Good Morning, when in fact I am speaking to you in the afternoon!)
Any questions etc, then fire away…
Tuesday wasn’t very good. Some thoughts, for what they are worth, below. Disappointing…
Kilbree Kid – 2 points win – 3rd 13/2>4/1 (how disappointing- I was confident all the way round there until just before the last. No excuses whatsoever,just not good enough on the day. Perfect trip round,didn’t miss a fence,just didn’t pick up when asked. Winner did it well, pestered for some of the lead – a very inconsistent profile,like most from that yard – an all or nothing horse on recent starts and I thought he may want it softer. He was unexposed so entitled to still have improvement in him,albeit didn’t expect him to beat them like that. He received a great front running ride also. Bugger)
Present View – 1 point win – UP 7/1>9/2>9/1 (well clearly my ‘good ground’ jumping eyes are still rather rusty. He traveled well enough for a long way and maybe did run out of gas or he just isn’t as good, nowhere near it, as he once was. The drift was a danger beforehand. Well done to Loose Chips, I can’t say I saw that coming – he does like Kempton – I didn’t think he would be able to dictate quite so easily,I thought he was better with cut and I expected something with more up their sleeve/zip in closing stages to grab him. Wrong on many different levels there. The break has clearly done him good – he ticked most of the ‘profile’ boxes. Clearly none of the younger ones were any good and I judged them poorly. All credit to the horse and connections, what a game little beast. Having followed him a couple of times this season, that hurts a little bit!)
The beginning of the jumps season took a while to heat up,then we burst into life in the middle, and now we are tapering slowly again towards the end! Maybe the mind is all ‘3m handicap chased out’ (two winners I didn’t give much of a chance too,rather than being perplexed at the losers) and it is time for some flat action…Its that time of the year when more unknowns creep in- ground/freshness of horses being two- that changing of the seasons period and I am clearly finding it tough, in general.
UPDATE…a sad postscript to the day…It looks as though Present View suffered potential career ending injuries but the good news is that he has been saved – albeit it sounds touch and go over the next few days, having ruptured tendons. That would explain why he seemed to stop rather abruptly – hopefully he makes a full recovery and brings joy to someone, hacking around fields somewhere. That rather puts any losing bets into perspective.
Golden Chieftain suffered a fatal heart-attack last weekend. What sad news. When you follow the chasers year in year out you feel like you get to know them, which makes it more painful when one passes on. He didn’t deserve that. What a brave horse who deserved, like they all do, a long and happy retirement. On the plus side, he had a long and enjoyable racing career and that should be celebrated. Still, it is a great shame he won’t be living out the rest of his days relaxing in a somerset field somewhere.
I have looked at the No Duffer race and while I don’t think I want to be taking him on, I am not sure I want to be wading in at 5/2 – I do lack confidence with horses near that end of the market. If he turns up in the same form as last time he should take all the stopping. Although you will find stronger C2s I think, it was still a deeper race than this. BUT, he is facing a handful of inform rivals who could have more to come. You would not fall off your seat if one of Topper Thornton, Jennys Surprise or even Silver Tassie were to go close here. If Presented was on a going day he may even threaten at some stage (albeit more surprised if he won) Brennan may try and dominate from the front here, and he may not see another rival. But, at the odds, I am happy to leave and there is nothing that I could confidently take him on with. One of those. You may disagree and have my ‘Any Currency Syndrome’- which was clearly misdiagnosed yesterday!! 🙂
7.05 Taunt: Unison (16/1<)
2.40 Perth: Gold Chain (12/1<) DNQ
8.05 Taunt: Double Accord (12/1<)
STATS/ANGLES OF INTEREST
Using my ‘Perth’ Stats, I think they through up the following…
Race 1: 2.10
NTD Micro : Wicked Willy – UP
Race 2: 2.40
McCain Micro (10/1<) : What Does The Fox Say -UP
Other trainer stats (small samples): Lochnell (Duncan) + High Fair (Forster)
Race 3: 3.15
Elliot Micro: Fagan – UP
Race 4: 3.50
George Micro: No Duffer – WON 5/2
Race 5: 4.25
NTD Micro: Frontier Vic – WON 7/2
McCain (10/1<) : Rolling Thunder – UP
Other Stats: Forster (small sample, 2/2!): See The Legend
Race 6: 5.00
Other Stats: All George Handicap Chasers: Florida Calling- 2nd
Race 7: 5.30
I think that is it and I haven’t missed anything, stats wise.
TRAINER TRACK PROFILES: FLAT 2016
As I said I won’t post the trainer micro SYSTEM bets that regularly (the main ones at end of each profile,where they exist) but there are four possibles today I believe…
3.30 Catt: I Am Not Here (16/1<)- 2nd
3.40 Epsom: Elbereth (any odds) – UP
4.35 Catt: Gerry The Glover (16/1<) – UP
4.50 Epsom: Byres Road (7/1<) – UP
That is all for today. Good luck with your bets, as always.