Don’t you just love a second place?! (4 today for me) Russe Blanc ran a fine race, no complaints there and looked like he could win jumping the last. I was hoping the one in front would start to tire but he was fit and kept going. Still, we beat the market and got a run for our money jumping the last. Russe Blanc will win races this season but he doesnt look to have a turn of gear. He could be a long distance chase type, one of the regional nationals maybe and/or a track with a stiff finish that brings horses back to him. In the tracker. The winner is also one to take moving forward. He is progressive with not many chase starts under his belt and clearly my concerns over race fitness were unfounded.
He was my main bet at Newbury although I had an interest in the Hobbs winner at 4s, the Nicholls horse that got caught on the line (another second, head) the King horse in same race who faded and the King bumper horse – I backed him to win only 14s this morning, he drifted to 25s and travelled into the race like the winner, only to finish 3rd. Still, an exciting run. So, a ‘wipe my face day’ at Newbury.
After three great days for the systems (+23 points) the last two havent been great although a 5/2 winner yesterday reduced the damage. Dresden was backed from 9/2>2/1 and made a race ending blunder. Both of AJ Honeyball’s came close seconds, one blundering the last. Frustrating. That is racing, that is systems. Close to a decent day.
No tip today.
No shortlist tomorrow given the list of horses below. Working out which ones I wish to back could take me some time!
The micro systems are a guide and as I have said before they will be judged on how they perform over time, when backed systematically.(and you should have confidence to do that,albeit on some days it can be a lot bets) I will update results at the end of the month as usual.
My personal preference is to look at each horse in the context of the race and in the first instance ask if I can fully discount the horse – There was one for Suzy Smith at Taunton yesterday (26/11) that I left because he was 0/14 over hurdles and that put me off, for example. I also left the Lavelle qualifier because of the 1/2 fav and danger of Fry’s. But, that is a personal preference, and I will make an error at some point and leave a winner.
12.55 Newb – Drumshambo (16/1<)
1.30 Newb – Unique De Cotte (14/1<)
1.45 Muss – Rear Admiral (12/1<)
2.30 Donc – Cactus Valley (12/1<)
2.40 Newb – Niceonefrankie (16/1<)
4.45 Wolv – Bosham (12/1<)
5.45 Wolv – Mountain Man (12/1<)
7.15 Wolv – Hernando Torres (12/1<)
12.15 Donc – Night In Milan (12/1<)
1.20 Donc – Enchanted Garden (12/1<)
3.05 Donc – Trapper Peak (12/1<)
(to be used as a guide and extra level of info in your own analysis – numbers small to be backed blind, albeit maybe cant go wrong just backing the Hobbs runners, with King not far behind!- famous last words)
RACE 1 – 12.25
Copain De Classe (PN 7/1<)
Ardamir (King 16/1<)
RACE 2 – 12.55
RACE 3 – 1.30
Sykes (Hobbs – ‘cappers aged 6/7)
Saint John Henry (Pipe, age 16/1<)
RACE 4 – 2.05
Sametegal (PN 7/1<)
Dell’Arca (Pipe 16/1<)
Actival (Fry – wins 7/2 or shorter to date)
L’Unique (King 16/1<)
RACE 5 – 2.40
Royal Regatta (Hobbs)
RACE 6 – 3.15
Chartbreaker (PN 7/1<)
Board of Trade (King 16/1<)
Champagne on Ice (Pipe 16/1<)
RACE 7 – 3.45
Alibi De Sivola (PN 7/1<)
Baron De Ligniere (PN 7/1<)
Big Chief Benny (16/1<)
Pilgrims Bay (Pipe 16/1<)
Behind Time (Fry, all wins 7/2< to date, small sample)
Dusky Oscar (Fry, as above)