No ‘tip’ again today, as no overly strong ways in.(and being pushed for time again)
I have had a quick glance at the Ayr Bronze Cup and I plan to get properly stuck into the two big sprints tomorrow – I have had a bet on New Bidder EW 5 places 12/1, without looking at the race in depth. Thing things that caught my eye – firstly he is in form, and has CD form. The stable is in form and the horse appears to be improving again, having had a lull for some time. This mark should not be a problem. He is stepping up from C5 here but what caught my eye was his geegeez speed figure, which is the best by some way in the race. He is also an out and out front runner drawn high. I think he will get the rail and he has shown battling qualities this season. Now, he could go too quick and get taken on, but will have to trust the jockey there. If he has a relatively easy time up the near side I struggle to see him being too far away – unless that speed fig is an anomaly and he just wont be good enough. Don’t just follow me in based on the above – that is very much a one horse only bet, without looking at the others! (but similar logic worked for Rene Mathis at Goodwood the other week, 14/1, so who knows)
The 2.40 Listowel looks a conundrum and this is an ‘unconsidered’ shortlist in the sense I haven’t had time to look at the horses…Hassett is 3/6, 4 places at track, runs Mystery Again. McCourt is 3/7 at track, runs Clear Focus and Murphy is 4/10, 7 places and runs Consonance. All are big prices and I will have a further look, but I may throw something at all three, we shall see.
JJ Quinn is 2/4, 2 places with his 2yo debutants at Ayr. A small sample yes but he does tend to target this meeting…1.30 St Dunston, 2.00 Wowcha.
J J Quinn (8/1 0r under)
3.40 Ayr – Noble Assett
4.50 Ayr – Chebsey Beau / Hidden Justice
Bernard LLew…(25/1 or under)
4.05 NA – Drummond / Sweet World
The stats guide throws up a few horses of interest…a couple of handicap chasers in the 6.05 priced up around 6/1 (fitness question over both) and one in the 6.35 at 16/1 or so – form and fitness concern too , and finally a couple in the 7.05 – one for a trainer with a brilliant record with his handicap hurdlers at the track, that I have backed, although he is still a maiden, 6/1 just allowed a chance to be taken.
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