There will be no bet today. There are a few on my shortlist but I am struggling to be overly confident on any of them for ‘tipping purposes’. There is a lot of racing on today but most of it is dross with unpredictable animals…
Some thoughts for interest…
-Keith Reveley has been in good form the last two weeks (3/8, 4 places) and runs Hookergate Grammar in the 8.10 at Beverley. This horse takes a massive step up in trip by 4f. Clearly the trainer thinks this will suit but it is a massive unknown I didnt want to take a big chance on (Breeding isnt conclusive) – although he is near the top of the market so a big run would be no surprise in what looks a poor race.
-Tina Jackson is 3/9, 5 places at Cartmel, and i think all wins with the same horse – Ardesia (5.25) – he is 11yo now and hasnt been in great form but his course record is very good, and the booking of England caught my eye as he rides this track well. Still, horses at that age dont win very often.
-Maurice Barnes runs Toledo Gold again here in the 4.55, having won last time out, to enhance his stats for chasers at the track. He will lead again, and provided he doesnt bounce (second run after a long break), will run a big race at 4/1. I wanted to ‘tip’ him, but his career stats of 0/8, 0 places in class 3 put me off. Even a couple of places would have been good. In saying that, some of those were on the flat, some over hurdles, and 0/3, 0 places chases, although a few of those were novice handicaps. And, he hasnt run over fences here at C3 level. He should get an easy lead and that may negate any class issues but it is a niggle, whether he is good enough for this level. But, I have probably talked myself into a small bet, given he will have track position and I should get a run for my money, at least jumping the last.
-King of the Celts runs in the 8.40 Beverley and is 3/8, 5 places at the track. He ran well last time at Pontefract for a long way, before being swamped near the end. The stiffer finish here may well be what he needs and returned to this track could go well. The danger is a Mark Johnston short prices fav who has a far superior speed figure. Arguably unlucky in a better race last time he will run a decent race – but does need to get his head in front. If he does fail I suspect King of the Celts wont be too far away.
There were some other stats for trainers but the runners were mainly in 3yo only races and I dont want to play in those too often,. Marcus Tregoning is still in good form, 4/10, 6 places the last 2 weeks and runs Thames Knight in the 7.20 Wind. The trainer’s track record is poor, although this horse has run well here. Although he is a bit on the short side now – his speed figure is far superior so a big run will be no surprise.
So, all in all, I hope a few of the above run well but there was nothing that I could confidently stake 1 point on. A lot of the shortlist horses, as well as the main selections, have been consistent and run their races so we shall see! This just means at some point I will have a couple of horses on one day.